NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	109		Excitement	5.1 [769]		MVP	Scott Burrell (CHI): +23.6%
Houston Rockets	94		Comeback	1.8 [781]		LVP	Scottie Pippen (CHI): -8.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scott Burrell	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.13	0.11	0.01	9	83%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.13	0.01	0.07	31	61%	0.11	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Bill Wennington	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	12	58%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	7	57%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Booth	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	3	58%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Steve Kerr	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	3	14%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Randy Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	-0.08	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	19	47%	-0.00	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	6	69%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Clyde Drexler	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	17	57%	0.12	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Charles Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Stephens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	125%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brent Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	15	53%	0.07	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	14	53%	0.03	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Willis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	7	44%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Charles Barkley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	0.01	0.02	9	50%	-0.01	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.5	30.2	17.6	23.8	2.7	27.6	130.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +13.7%

HOU -1.0%

CHI +15.2%

CHI +21.2%

CHI +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	HOU	NBA	CHI	HOU	NBA
this game	15.6	15.3	15.6	118.5	100.0	102.5
season	16.2	15.7		105.8	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.8		105.7	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.2	14.8	16.9	16.8	15.6
HOU	16.4	14.0	16.6	14.5	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Pippen	80	81	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.05	20	-5	25	15.2	18.3	-3.10	15.8	12.3	3.51
Dennis Rodman	86	87	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.00	17	-2	19	15.9	12.0	3.90	15.8	9.0	6.84
Dickey Simpkins	32	33	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.16	7	8	-1	15.2	15.9	-0.74	13.2	16.5	-3.22
Michael Jordan	71	71	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.13	15	0	15	15.4	16.4	-0.96	16.0	13.3	2.62
Scott Burrell	37	40	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.04	7	8	-1	17.0	14.7	2.27	13.1	16.9	-3.79
Ron Harper	44	45	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.05	5	10	-5	15.5	15.7	-0.23	16.7	14.1	2.65
Randy Brown	20	20	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.11	3	12	-9	18.0	15.0	3.01	14.9	15.4	-0.48
Bill Wennington	46	46	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	12	-9	16.1	15.2	0.89	17.8	13.0	4.80
Steve Kerr	35	38	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.06	3	12	-9	14.3	16.5	-2.14	12.9	17.0	-4.09
Keith Booth	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	17	-19	12.0	15.9	-3.90	9.8	15.7	-5.87
Jud Buechler	3	3	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.08	-3	18	-21	14.7	15.7	-1.01	10.3	15.5	-5.16

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Othella Harrington	17	16	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.11	6	-21	27	10.8	16.3	-5.57	12.6	16.3	-3.65
Charles Jones	4	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-18	21	10.7	15.5	-4.78	14.7	15.7	-1.01
Joe Stephens	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-14	13	9.8	15.7	-5.87	12.0	15.9	-3.90
Brent Price	38	35	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.04	-2	-13	11	13.6	16.5	-2.98	15.1	16.0	-0.94
Clyde Drexler	58	59	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.14	0	-15	15	16.3	13.8	2.43	16.9	13.3	3.60
Mario Elie	67	68	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.09	-9	-6	-3	16.2	13.2	2.96	15.2	16.7	-1.50
Emanual Davis	16	13	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-13	11	12.3	15.9	-3.64	17.5	15.3	2.12
Matt Maloney	34	36	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.01	-9	-6	-3	16.5	14.7	1.83	15.5	15.7	-0.28
Charles Barkley	55	55	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.08	-13	-2	-11	14.3	16.7	-2.37	15.8	15.5	0.30
Hakeem Olajuwon	62	61	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.08	-13	-2	-11	16.7	12.7	3.91	16.1	14.7	1.36
Kevin Willis	50	49	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.08	-13	-2	-11	16.7	13.8	2.88	16.0	15.3	0.72
Eddie Johnson	41	38	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.04	-18	3	-21	14.6	15.9	-1.28	14.3	16.6	-2.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.21,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 102, ATL 93	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.3,0.26,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0	94.7%
MIL 116, CHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.26,0.4,0.34,0.43,0.25,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.5%
PHI 99, MEM 89	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.68,0.73,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.13,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,0,0	94.3%