NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	116		Excitement	5.8 [674]		MVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): +27.5%
Chicago Bulls	96		Comeback	2.0 [405]		LVP	Dwyane Wade (CHI): -19.1%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.16	0.13	0.02	19	71%	0.37	4	-0.10	11	73%	-0.01
Jabari Parker	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.18	0.01	0.05	15	75%	0.18	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Tony Snell	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.00	3	100%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Malcolm Brogdon	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.02	-0.03	13	58%	0.08	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Steve Novak	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thon Maker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mirza Teletovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.02	13	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.04	0.00	5	100%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.04	0.02	10	65%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.01	-0.02	16	55%	0.13	3	-0.08	15	67%	-0.07
Robin Lopez	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	11	55%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Denzel Valentine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Canaan	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	3	62%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jerian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	5	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	12	38%	-0.04	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	6	29%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.14	-0.06	-0.01	13	29%	-0.13	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.7	28.0	16.5	26.2	2.5	30.4	130.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +43.1%

MIL +8.7%

MIL +0.8%

CHI -1.1%

CHI -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CHI	NBA	MIL	CHI	NBA
this game	14.8	17.0	14.8	128.9	105.5	107.7
season	14.9	15.1		107.4	105.9
opponent	14.8	15.3		105.9	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	16.3	14.0	13.3	15.8	14.8
CHI	15.7	17.3	18.8	16.2	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malcolm Brogdon	70	73	0.58	-0.08	0.65	-0.07	22	-2	24	14.8	14.8	-0.04	17.6	14.3	3.31
Greg Monroe	62	62	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.23	27	-7	34	15.5	13.3	2.23	16.9	17.2	-0.37
Jabari Parker	76	76	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.09	16	4	12	14.6	15.8	-1.14	17.2	15.7	1.50
Giannis Antetokounmpo	77	76	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.03	16	4	12	14.6	15.9	-1.29	17.2	15.9	1.26
Tony Snell	44	45	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.05	12	8	4	14.0	15.6	-1.65	17.8	16.2	1.65
Jason Terry	42	42	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	17	-14	15.9	13.9	2.03	16.3	17.6	-1.22
Steve Novak	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	15	-10	12.7	14.9	-2.17	14.5	17.1	-2.60
Thon Maker	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	17	-14	12.7	14.9	-2.17	11.8	17.3	-5.49
John Henson	28	29	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.14	-7	27	-34	13.3	15.5	-2.23	17.2	16.9	0.37
Mirza Teletovic	43	43	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.22	3	17	-14	15.7	14.0	1.63	15.7	18.2	-2.49

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Portis	5	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-15	10	11.8	17.3	-5.49	13.0	14.9	-1.93
Denzel Valentine	5	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-15	10	11.8	17.3	-5.49	13.0	14.9	-1.93
Isaiah Canaan	5	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-15	10	11.8	17.3	-5.49	13.0	14.9	-1.93
Robin Lopez	57	56	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-15	10	18.1	15.1	2.99	14.9	14.6	0.33
Jimmy Butler	71	70	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-16	12	17.5	15.3	2.16	14.5	16.0	-1.51
Doug McDermott	54	53	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	-13	6	17.2	16.6	0.62	15.7	13.5	2.22
Jerian Grant	35	35	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.09	-9	-11	2	15.1	18.2	-3.05	15.3	14.5	0.71
Nikola Mirotic	41	41	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.03	-9	-11	2	16.6	17.3	-0.65	15.5	14.3	1.22
Michael Carter-Williams	48	47	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	-8	-4	17.9	16.0	1.96	14.4	15.3	-0.87
Cristiano Felicio	34	34	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	-5	-10	15.1	18.1	-2.99	14.6	14.9	-0.33
Taj Gibson	54	52	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.15	-10	-10	0	17.8	15.8	1.94	13.9	16.1	-2.13
Dwyane Wade	46	47	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.14	-14	-6	-8	17.5	16.5	1.03	15.4	14.2	1.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.26,0.4,0.34,0.43,0.25,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 109, HOU 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.21,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
IND 100, NJN 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.24,0.18,0.22,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.05,0	93.6%
WAS 99, SAS 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.43,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.29,0.32,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.31,0.38,0.34,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.06,0.01,0,0	93.1%