NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	91		Excitement	3.6 [1039]		MVP	Rick Fox (LAL): +11.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	114		Comeback	1.0 [1252]		LVP	Billy Owens (SAC): -12.7%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corliss Williamson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.01	11	68%	0.08	3	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03
Mark Hendrickson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	71%	0.04	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Michael Stewart	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	7	61%	0.06	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Otis Thorpe	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	14	36%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Terry Dehere	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	50%	-0.03	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.12	-0.00	-0.06	14	31%	-0.06	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Billy Owens	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	9	30%	-0.08	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.01	0.03	8	87%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	7	67%	0.06	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	1	100%	0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	9	67%	0.04	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Bennett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	3	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	50%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	20	50%	0.04	3	-0.06	10	50%	-0.04
Derek Fisher	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	5	60%	0.03	2	-0.05	5	40%	-0.03
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	7	58%	0.03	5	-0.05	5	80%	-0.00
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	6	62%	0.00	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.0	27.3	16.5	26.3	2.8	25.3	124.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +30.9%

LAL +3.5%

LAL +22.8%

SAC -9.9%

LAL +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAL	NBA	SAC	LAL	NBA
this game	15.9	14.1	15.6	94.8	118.8	102.5
season	15.2	14.8		98.5	110.0
opponent	15.6	15.3		102.6	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	16.7	14.8	15.7	16.5	15.9
LAL	13.3	15.2	14.9	12.8	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Stewart	53	53	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.09	-1	-22	21	14.7	17.5	-2.83	14.2	13.8	0.43
Lawrence Funderburke	34	35	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.15	-4	-19	15	15.4	16.2	-0.83	14.7	13.7	1.04
Olden Polynice	10	9	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-20	17	14.3	16.1	-1.84	11.6	14.3	-2.75
Terry Dehere	37	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.04	-8	-15	7	15.2	16.4	-1.15	12.5	15.0	-2.53
Mark Hendrickson	54	54	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.01	-7	-16	9	15.9	16.0	-0.13	14.3	13.8	0.52
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	73	74	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-11	-1	15.9	16.1	-0.18	14.4	12.8	1.60
Corliss Williamson	47	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	-12	1	16.2	15.7	0.56	14.1	14.0	0.10
Otis Thorpe	46	46	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.03	-16	-7	-9	17.2	14.8	2.35	14.1	14.0	0.15
Anthony Johnson	91	90	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.35	-29	6	-35	15.9	17.4	-1.53	14.1	13.5	0.59
Billy Owens	35	35	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.15	-24	1	-25	18.0	14.8	3.23	14.0	14.1	-0.13

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	69	71	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.09	21	2	19	14.1	13.8	0.33	17.2	12.4	4.85
Eddie Jones	66	69	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.12	22	1	21	14.3	13.6	0.71	16.8	13.9	2.92
Rick Fox	54	54	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.00	16	7	9	14.9	12.9	2.04	16.6	15.1	1.56
Robert Horry	57	57	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.19	22	1	21	13.8	14.4	-0.60	16.9	14.5	2.37
Derek Fisher	36	37	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.18	15	8	7	15.2	13.3	1.87	16.6	15.5	1.10
Nick Van Exel	60	59	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.00	8	15	-7	13.3	15.2	-1.87	15.5	16.6	-1.10
Elden Campbell	43	41	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	24	-25	14.7	13.6	1.09	14.8	16.8	-2.00
Kobe Bryant	44	41	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.02	1	22	-21	13.6	14.4	-0.77	15.7	16.2	-0.51
Sean Rooks	16	16	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.11	4	19	-15	12.4	14.4	-2.01	12.8	16.6	-3.76
Jon Barry	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	19	-15	11.8	14.3	-2.51	13.1	16.3	-3.18
Mario Bennett	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	21	-19	12.8	14.1	-1.30	12.4	16.2	-3.80
Corie Blount	19	18	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.06	1	22	-21	13.7	14.1	-0.39	11.7	16.9	-5.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.56,0.67,0.7,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 89, CHI 106	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
BOS 96, OKC 119	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.83,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
NJN 75, MIL 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%