NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	89		Excitement	4.0 [1016]		MVP	Andres Nocioni (CHI): +15.0%
Chicago Bulls	106		Comeback	1.1 [1026]		LVP	Ronald Murray (DET): -10.7%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.01	-0.04	20	52%	0.13	4	-0.08	12	92%	0.04
Nazr Mohammed	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.02	9	68%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Ronald Dupree	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	10	50%	0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	12	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	7	43%	0.01
Antonio McDyess	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	8	44%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	-0.00
Will Blalock	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.12	-0.00	-0.05	12	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	8	50%	0.00
Ronald Murray	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.15	-0.01	-0.05	9	11%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.17	0.01	0.02	10	95%	0.19	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Luol Deng	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.03	0.04	19	62%	0.15	2	-0.04	10	70%	-0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.04	0.04	-0.07	11	46%	0.08	2	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	18	55%	0.07	4	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	60%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	11	24%	-0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.0	28.8	14.8	29.0	2.5	30.5	134.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +55.7%

DET -7.5%

DET -4.6%

CHI +5.6%

CHI +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CHI	NBA	DET	CHI	NBA
this game	15.7	15.2	15.4	94.7	115.2	104.5
season	16.8	14.5		106.1	103.1
opponent	15.9	15.7		98.1	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	12.8	20.3	17.0	13.8	15.7
CHI	15.0	15.7	13.0	17.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronald Dupree	11	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-20	23	11.0	16.3	-5.34	19.2	14.7	4.47
Amir Johnson	11	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-20	23	11.0	16.3	-5.34	19.2	14.7	4.47
Will Blalock	36	37	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-20	23	15.0	16.2	-1.16	14.7	15.6	-0.96
Jason Maxiell	37	38	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-15	13	15.1	16.1	-1.00	14.7	15.6	-0.87
Carlos Delfino	41	41	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-15	13	16.5	15.1	1.33	16.0	14.6	1.35
Antonio McDyess	39	40	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	-10	3	17.6	14.4	3.25	13.5	16.6	-3.05
Nazr Mohammed	41	38	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.05	-14	-3	-11	15.1	16.2	-1.05	15.6	15.0	0.65
Rasheed Wallace	54	51	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.06	-16	-1	-15	16.1	15.1	1.02	15.5	14.9	0.58
Richard Hamilton	76	74	-0.45	-0.06	-0.39	0.08	-18	1	-19	16.3	13.3	3.01	14.8	17.1	-2.31
Tayshaun Prince	66	64	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.04	-15	-2	-13	15.4	16.5	-1.12	14.9	16.1	-1.18
Ronald Murray	58	55	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.11	-20	3	-23	16.2	15.0	1.16	15.6	14.7	0.96

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luol Deng	71	73	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.02	19	-2	21	15.9	13.1	2.73	16.0	14.7	1.35
Ben Wallace	79	79	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.01	18	-1	19	15.2	15.5	-0.25	15.1	18.8	-3.67
Chris Duhon	56	58	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.11	18	-1	19	14.7	16.1	-1.41	15.5	16.1	-0.65
Kirk Hinrich	61	63	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.04	12	5	7	15.9	14.0	1.93	16.8	13.5	3.28
Andres Nocioni	52	54	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.02	11	6	5	14.7	16.0	-1.28	16.6	14.5	2.11
Adrian Griffin	37	36	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.00	7	10	-3	16.2	14.6	1.62	14.7	16.3	-1.65
Ben Gordon	63	62	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.07	4	13	-9	15.2	15.4	-0.29	15.4	16.3	-0.96
P.J. Brown	21	22	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	15	-13	13.2	15.8	-2.61	19.0	14.7	4.35
Michael Sweetney	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	17	-17	14.5	15.3	-0.78	9.0	16.1	-7.09
Tyrus Thomas	6	7	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	18	-19	14.0	15.3	-1.34	8.0	16.3	-8.33
Thabo Sefolosha	10	11	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	22	-27	15.4	15.2	0.17	15.1	15.8	-0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 91, LAL 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.56,0.67,0.7,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
PHX 69, UTA 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
IND 77, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.56,0.67,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%