NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	107		Excitement	2.7 [1169]		MVP	Eddie Jones (LAL): +8.1%
Denver Nuggets	86		Comeback	1.1 [1233]		LVP	Bobby Jackson (DEN): -16.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.19	-0.01	0.11	14	84%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.01	0.04	12	79%	0.10	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.03	16	63%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
Nick Van Exel	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	75%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jon Barry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Bennett	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	3	12%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Corie Blount	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Rick Fox	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	8	31%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	5	31%	-0.03	1	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	7	29%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Goldwire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.12	-0.01	0.03	9	90%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.13	0.00	0.06	14	75%	0.08	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	10	67%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Eric Washington	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	80%	0.00	2	-0.00	1	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.03	11	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Priest Lauderdale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Cory Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.15	-0.01	-0.06	8	33%	-0.03	5	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.21	-0.02	-0.06	11	18%	-0.07	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.0	1.8	26.1	15.6	25.4	2.5	22.2	114.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +24.1%

LAL +10.7%

LAL +5.6%

LAL +8.1%

LAL +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DEN	NBA	LAL	DEN	NBA
this game	15.6	17.0	15.6	120.2	97.7	102.5
season	14.8	16.2		110.0	96.7
opponent	15.2	15.6		109.5	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.4	16.6	15.9	16.6	15.6
DEN	17.3	18.5	16.9	15.4	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Jones	57	56	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.26	24	-3	27	16.0	14.8	1.20	17.6	16.0	1.57
Robert Horry	43	43	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.09	17	4	13	14.0	17.0	-3.00	18.2	15.9	2.27
Shaquille O'Neal	64	65	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.39	27	-6	33	16.5	13.2	3.21	17.1	16.6	0.53
Kobe Bryant	61	60	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.08	15	6	9	15.3	16.1	-0.76	17.1	16.7	0.47
Derek Fisher	46	46	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.11	6	15	-9	15.1	16.0	-0.91	15.8	18.3	-2.46
Nick Van Exel	43	42	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.22	15	6	9	16.0	15.1	0.91	18.3	15.8	2.46
Rick Fox	44	44	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.06	9	12	-3	14.9	16.2	-1.27	17.0	17.0	0.00
Elden Campbell	32	31	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.03	7	14	-7	14.9	15.9	-1.05	18.0	16.5	1.49
Corie Blount	17	15	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.24	9	12	-3	16.1	15.4	0.63	16.9	17.0	-0.08
Jon Barry	16	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	27	-33	16.7	15.3	1.39	14.4	17.6	-3.13
Mario Bennett	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	30	-39	16.5	15.4	1.14	13.0	17.6	-4.57
Sean Rooks	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	30	-39	16.5	15.4	1.14	13.0	17.6	-4.57

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Priest Lauderdale	8	7	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-23	25	22.0	16.5	5.50	23.9	14.8	9.02
Eric Washington	8	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-24	27	13.5	17.3	-3.85	13.0	15.8	-2.84
Tony Battie	30	31	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.19	4	-25	29	16.9	17.1	-0.20	17.5	14.5	3.02
Cory Alexander	55	55	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.25	-18	-3	-15	17.2	16.6	0.63	15.2	16.1	-0.82
Bobby Jackson	53	51	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.18	-4	-17	13	16.5	17.7	-1.19	15.4	15.8	-0.37
Johnny Newman	43	44	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.09	-14	-7	-7	18.0	16.0	1.96	16.1	15.0	1.16
Danny Fortson	67	67	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	-11	1	15.7	21.0	-5.32	15.7	15.1	0.61
LaPhonso Ellis	60	62	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.39	-25	4	-29	17.4	16.1	1.26	15.1	16.6	-1.55
Anthony Goldwire	54	56	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.05	-14	-7	-7	17.3	16.6	0.72	15.6	15.5	0.06
Dean Garrett	62	63	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.34	-29	8	-37	17.1	16.7	0.38	14.3	18.6	-4.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 102, SAC 80	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
DET 84, NJN 71	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
MIA 88, MIL 67	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%