NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	102		Excitement	3.1 [1187]		MVP	Jrue Holiday (PHI): +9.9%
Sacramento Kings	80		Comeback	1.3 [914]		LVP	Marcus Thornton (SAC): -18.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.00	-0.03	13	56%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Elton Brand	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.04	11	45%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	10	58%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Jason Kapono	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	125%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	7	60%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	-0.00	-0.06	12	36%	0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	0.00	0.01	11	32%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	11	48%	0.02	5	-0.08	5	20%	-0.02

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.02	11	47%	0.01	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.03
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	13	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Darnell Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	60%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jermaine Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	4	25%	-0.01	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pooh Jeter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	6	25%	-0.05	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.16	-0.00	-0.08	10	30%	-0.03	5	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	0.07	13	51%	-0.04	4	-0.05	11	64%	-0.00
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.21	-0.01	-0.03	12	27%	-0.07	6	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.4	30.3	15.5	22.4	1.7	29.3	124.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +36.1%

PHI +1.0%

PHI +5.7%

PHI +7.6%

SAC -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	SAC	NBA	PHI	SAC	NBA
this game	14.3	14.2	15.5	101.0	79.2	105.7
season	15.5	14.9		104.6	102.1
opponent	14.9	15.5		107.7	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	12.9	12.4	16.4	15.8	14.3
SAC	15.9	14.8	13.6	12.5	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	65	63	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.09	18	4	14	13.7	15.4	-1.67	15.1	12.7	2.47
Elton Brand	55	54	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.15	19	3	16	13.7	15.0	-1.33	15.6	12.6	2.92
Andre Iguodala	62	60	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.24	21	1	20	13.9	15.0	-1.11	14.7	13.4	1.36
Jodie Meeks	73	73	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.05	13	9	4	14.7	13.3	1.38	14.3	13.9	0.47
Thaddeus Young	48	49	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.19	16	6	10	13.8	14.8	-1.00	13.4	14.9	-1.53
Spencer Hawes	53	51	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.02	9	13	-4	14.3	14.3	0.05	15.4	13.0	2.37
Evan Turner	52	54	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.00	7	15	-8	14.2	14.4	-0.26	13.1	15.5	-2.38
Lou Williams	40	43	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.14	10	12	-2	14.8	14.0	0.84	14.0	14.3	-0.30
Tony Battie	20	21	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	19	-16	13.8	14.4	-0.58	14.0	14.2	-0.19
Marreese Speights	17	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	25	-28	16.7	13.8	2.87	12.0	14.6	-2.64
Jason Kapono	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	25	-28	17.2	14.0	3.19	9.3	14.7	-5.34
Andres Nocioni	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	22	-22	16.5	14.1	2.40	10.2	14.7	-4.51

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darnell Jackson	11	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-22	22	10.2	14.7	-4.51	16.5	14.1	2.40
Donte Greene	19	19	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-21	20	12.5	14.6	-2.06	16.1	13.9	2.14
Pooh Jeter	37	35	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-21	20	13.2	14.7	-1.51	15.3	13.8	1.48
Jermaine Taylor	32	30	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.18	-10	-12	2	12.6	15.0	-2.39	15.7	13.7	2.02
Jason Thompson	46	45	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.36	6	-28	34	14.2	14.2	0.04	14.2	14.4	-0.29
Omri Casspi	53	52	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.10	-3	-19	16	13.1	15.4	-2.36	14.3	14.3	-0.02
Francisco Garcia	45	46	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.15	-16	-6	-10	15.5	13.1	2.41	14.0	14.6	-0.66
DeMarcus Cousins	69	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.16	-17	-5	-12	14.9	12.6	2.30	14.7	13.5	1.16
Marcus Thornton	67	69	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.15	-19	-3	-16	14.5	13.6	0.96	13.8	15.5	-1.73
Beno Udrih	65	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.26	-24	2	-26	14.6	13.5	1.08	13.8	15.3	-1.48
Samuel Dalembert	61	62	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.28	-25	3	-28	15.3	12.6	2.69	13.3	15.9	-2.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 84, NJN 71	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
LAL 107, DEN 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
CHA 112, MEM 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%