NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	102		Excitement	11.5 [18]		MVP	Calbert Cheaney (WAS): +22.8%
New Jersey Nets	100		Comeback	3.7 [203]		LVP	Juwan Howard (WAS): -44.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Calbert Cheaney	0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.23,0.23	0.04	0.18	-0.01	15	66%	0.30	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Webber	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,0.12	-0.08	0.17	-0.03	24	44%	0.18	1	-0.06	9	44%	-0.07
Chris Whitney	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.05
Terry Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02
Harvey Grant	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.02	-0.27	-0.02	9	50%	-0.09	2	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	-0.34	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.31,-0.31,-0.34	-0.10	-0.25	-0.01	15	45%	-0.30	2	-0.05	12	75%	0.01
Juwan Howard	-0.45	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.19,-0.26,-0.26,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.45,-0.45	-0.16	-0.29	-0.00	19	33%	-0.43	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.07

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.09	-0.01	17	55%	0.15	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.14
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.06	0.00	5	75%	0.11	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.06	0.00	5	60%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Cage	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	14	47%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.03,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.13,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	-0.09	0.01	24	56%	0.19	3	-0.26	4	100%	0.09
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	0	50%	-0.01	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	2	20%	-0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37	-0.37	-0.13	-0.26	-0.02	8	33%	-0.12	3	-0.25	5	100%	0.03
Rony Seikaly	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39	-0.39	-0.18	-0.21	-0.00	10	31%	-0.23	4	-0.17	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	27.6	15.4	31.4	1.7	42.8	1.7	25.2	171.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	1.6	18.4	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN -0.3%

NJN -7.7%

WAS +22.2%

WAS +35.6%

WAS +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NJN	NBA	WAS	NJN	NBA
this game	15.0	17.4	15.6	105.2	101.0	102.5
season	15.1	15.6		102.8	104.9
opponent	15.2	15.6		103.9	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
WAS	14.0	14.7	15.2	16.5	15.0	15.0
NJN	16.6	16.0	15.4	19.4	24.4	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy Murray	38	41	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.17	13	-11	24	14.9	15.1	-0.21	17.2	17.6	-0.40
Calbert Cheaney	81	84	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.47	2	0	2	14.9	15.5	-0.57	16.7	21.4	-4.71
Rod Strickland	89	93	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.42	1	1	0	15.0	15.1	-0.11	17.7	13.2	4.51
Harvey Grant	9	8	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.54	-3	5	-8	11.9	15.3	-3.45	11.7	17.9	-6.15
Chris Webber	84	87	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.44	-3	5	-8	15.1	14.4	0.73	18.2	11.8	6.34
Chris Whitney	10	9	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.14	4	-2	6	12.5	15.3	-2.81	10.1	18.1	-8.02
Terry Davis	33	35	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	1	0	16.5	14.2	2.31	17.2	17.5	-0.32
Ben Wallace	58	53	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.16	-7	9	-16	14.4	16.0	-1.60	17.7	17.0	0.67
Juwan Howard	83	85	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.14	2	0	2	15.6	11.8	3.78	18.3	11.8	6.54

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Cage	2	3	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	0	-2	17.0	17.4	-0.41	4.7	15.4	-10.68
Lucious Harris	6	6	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.06	-6	4	-10	19.8	17.2	2.59	12.5	15.2	-2.69
Kerry Kittles	84	83	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.29	5	-7	12	17.0	19.4	-2.35	15.2	14.0	1.19
Sherman Douglas	28	27	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.06	-3	1	-4	19.4	16.6	2.77	15.4	14.9	0.54
Brian Evans	7	6	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.09	-2	0	-2	13.0	17.7	-4.74	15.3	15.0	0.33
Jayson Williams	72	72	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.21	2	-4	6	17.8	16.3	1.52	15.1	14.7	0.41
Chris Gatling	16	15	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	2	-6	14.2	18.0	-3.84	14.9	15.0	-0.10
Kendall Gill	54	50	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.48	8	-10	18	17.1	17.8	-0.69	16.3	13.7	2.60
Keith Van Horn	85	84	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.36	0	-2	2	17.4	17.6	-0.28	14.7	17.4	-2.73
Rony Seikaly	63	63	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.15	-9	7	-16	18.6	15.3	3.25	15.1	14.8	0.30
Sam Cassell	78	76	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.57	1	-3	4	16.9	19.4	-2.51	14.7	16.2	-1.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.29,0.34,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.19,0.36,0.23,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.57,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 105, UTA 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.28,0.33,0.34,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.38,0.42,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.31,0.22,0.1,0.28,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.45,0.58,0	89.5%
LAL 101, MIN 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.23,0.23,0.15,0.13,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.32,0.31,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.37,0.23,0.03,0.54,0.31,0.64,0.78,0.58,0	88.9%
DAL 115, MIL 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.09,0.16,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.15,0.21,0.24,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.43,0.42,0	88.9%