NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	101		Excitement	10.7 [44]		MVP	Jordan Clarkson (LAL): +44.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves	99		Comeback	4.1 [284]		LVP	Wayne Ellington (LAL): -57.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Clarkson	0.44	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07,-0.12,-0.23,-0.23,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.22,-0.33,-0.2,0.44	-0.08	0.51	-0.02	16	50%	0.76	6	-0.32	8	100%	0.17
Jabari Brown	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.08	0.17	-0.00	4	112%	0.27	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.06	-0.00	9	78%	0.17	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tarik Black	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.07	0.01	6	79%	0.18	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.03
Jeremy Lin	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	14	56%	0.11	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.04
Wesley Johnson	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Sacre	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Kelly	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	13	39%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Wayne Ellington	-0.58	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.23,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.35,-0.35,-0.44,-0.58	-0.19	-0.39	-0.01	19	18%	-0.50	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.48,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.12	0.24	-0.00	14	76%	0.43	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.31,0.31,0.11	0.11	0.11	-0.00	0.00	16	63%	0.39	2	-0.28	11	91%	0.10
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.06	0.06	-0.06	0.12	0.00	6	71%	0.26	6	-0.20	2	100%	0.01
Lorenzo Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	9	44%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Justin Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Adreian Payne	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Sean Kilpatrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	7	31%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zach LaVine	0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.15,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.31,-0.4	-0.40	-0.11	-0.29	0.00	18	41%	-0.32	4	-0.08	8	87%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.4	2.5	24.6	16.3	26.4	1.8	31.0	1.5	20.6	147.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	2.0	17.8	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN -10.5%

LAL +27.3%

LAL +20.5%

LAL +16.0%

MIN -3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIN	NBA	LAL	MIN	NBA
this game	16.2	14.6	15.1	99.0	95.2	104.2
season	15.5	15.0		101.9	101.2
opponent	15.0	14.7		110.5	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAL	15.8	17.0	14.9	18.5	13.7	16.2
MIN	17.0	13.0	13.9	14.9	14.8	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Kelly	70	71	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.10	15	-13	28	16.0	16.7	-0.74	15.6	12.6	3.03
Wesley Johnson	40	42	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.17	12	-10	22	15.5	16.7	-1.23	15.5	14.0	1.52
Jeremy Lin	56	58	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.00	15	-13	28	15.2	17.5	-2.25	15.4	13.7	1.70
Tarik Black	56	56	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.32	4	-2	6	16.5	15.9	0.64	15.9	13.1	2.78
Wayne Ellington	77	79	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.45	-5	7	-12	16.5	15.4	1.07	13.4	18.7	-5.31
Jordan Clarkson	71	71	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.43	-6	8	-14	16.8	15.1	1.70	15.5	12.9	2.54
Jabari Brown	63	63	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.49	-10	12	-22	16.7	15.4	1.31	13.8	15.9	-2.12
Ed Davis	45	47	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	6	-10	16.0	16.4	-0.44	13.2	15.8	-2.65
Robert Sacre	32	33	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.16	-11	13	-24	16.5	16.1	0.42	12.9	15.5	-2.54

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Kilpatrick	50	49	0.31	-0.81	1.13	0.05	9	-11	20	12.9	16.3	-3.36	16.2	16.3	-0.04
Justin Hamilton	21	21	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-5	8	12.7	15.1	-2.42	14.3	16.8	-2.47
Adreian Payne	51	48	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.10	-9	7	-16	16.7	12.7	4.01	15.3	17.1	-1.72
Chase Budinger	82	80	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.40	5	-7	12	13.3	19.8	-6.56	16.5	15.1	1.41
Gorgui Dieng	61	62	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.50	3	-5	8	15.2	13.9	1.30	17.2	14.7	2.54
Zach LaVine	93	92	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.49	-3	1	-4	14.9	12.1	2.86	16.1	17.8	-1.72
Lorenzo Brown	68	66	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.48	-8	6	-14	15.1	13.8	1.33	16.3	16.1	0.25
Andrew Wiggins	94	92	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.46	-10	8	-18	15.1	10.1	5.03	16.3	15.3	1.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.23,0.23,0.15,0.13,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.32,0.31,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.37,0.23,0.03,0.54,0.31,0.64,0.78,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 102, MIL 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.18,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.3,0.35,0.39,0.2,0.37,0.15,0.15,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.69,0	90.3%
LAL 107, ORL 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.36,0.35,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.09,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.1,0	89.3%
WAS 102, NJN 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.29,0.34,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.19,0.36,0.23,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.57,0.58,0	88.9%