NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	105		Excitement	11.4 [33]		MVP	Sasha Vujacic (LAL): +53.3%
Utah Jazz	101		Comeback	12.2 [98]		LVP	Gordan Giricek (UTA): -19.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sasha Vujacic	0.53	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.53	0.10	0.43	0.00	4	110%	0.62	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.07
Chris Mihm	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	5	71%	0.12	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Brian Cook	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Laron Profit	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kobe Bryant	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.07	-0.00	31	42%	0.27	2	-0.26	9	67%	0.13
Devin Green	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	9	55%	0.09	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.04
Smush Parker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.01	0.12	-0.10	0.03	12	70%	0.06	1	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Lamar Odom	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.09	0.05	-0.02	13	37%	0.03	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.08
Aaron McKie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andrew Bynum	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	0	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	0%	-0.09

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.41,0.41	0.41	0.02	0.38	-0.01	12	47%	0.41	0	0.00	10	90%	0.12
Deron Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.29,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.09	0.01	12	62%	0.18	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.05
Andre Owens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.08	0.00	6	65%	0.17	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.05
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.01	3	90%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.05
CJ Miles	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.11,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.05	0.01	8	59%	0.07	2	-0.11	6	100%	0.09
Greg Ostertag	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	6	21%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	9	36%	-0.09	2	-0.05	7	71%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	9	36%	-0.08	2	-0.06	7	71%	0.02
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.19	-0.19	-0.08	-0.12	-0.00	8	35%	-0.15	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	28.8	3.4	37.5	18.6	30.3	3.7	43.9	2.5	18.2	187.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	1.8	17.8	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +69.4%

UTA -6.2%

UTA -6.1%

UTA -16.5%

LAL +9.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	UTA	NBA	LAL	UTA	NBA
this game	15.7	17.1	15.6	107.1	105.2	104.4
season	15.6	17.0		106.2	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.5		104.6	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAL	16.0	14.3	17.5	17.2	10.9	15.7
UTA	16.0	19.3	15.9	17.0	18.0	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mihm	67	67	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.20	18	-14	32	15.1	16.9	-1.83	18.0	15.1	2.98
Smush Parker	72	69	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.35	10	-6	16	15.1	17.2	-2.15	17.2	17.0	0.15
Lamar Odom	87	84	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.42	6	-2	8	15.4	17.7	-2.34	17.2	16.4	0.83
Laron Profit	6	5	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.25	3	1	2	6.8	16.2	-9.39	14.2	17.3	-3.11
Luke Walton	68	64	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.25	1	3	-2	16.1	14.6	1.47	17.2	16.9	0.31
Kobe Bryant	80	80	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.11	1	3	-2	15.6	16.1	-0.49	17.7	14.3	3.40
Aaron McKie	20	19	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.01	5	-1	6	16.5	15.4	1.06	17.7	17.0	0.67
Sasha Vujacic	41	42	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.13	-2	6	-8	15.2	15.9	-0.70	16.2	17.9	-1.74
Brian Cook	26	26	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	7	-10	18.1	14.8	3.30	15.2	17.9	-2.63
Devin Green	7	8	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.01	-5	9	-14	21.9	15.2	6.68	16.7	17.2	-0.43
Andrew Bynum	16	16	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.16	-14	18	-32	17.2	15.3	1.91	15.6	17.5	-1.90

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kris Humphries	28	29	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.10	8	-12	20	16.2	17.5	-1.32	18.1	14.6	3.43
Andre Owens	17	16	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.11	7	-11	18	20.9	16.3	4.61	16.3	15.5	0.79
Milt Palacio	28	30	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-5	6	16.6	17.4	-0.71	16.9	15.1	1.85
Mehmet Okur	62	63	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-2	0	17.3	16.9	0.41	16.7	13.7	3.02
CJ Miles	0	1	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-2	0	0.0	17.1	-17.15	0.0	15.8	-15.81
Matt Harpring	58	61	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.07	-10	6	-16	18.0	15.9	2.07	14.9	16.8	-1.90
Jarron Collins	39	38	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.25	0	-4	4	17.1	17.2	-0.16	15.9	15.5	0.35
Devin Brown	51	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.27	0	-4	4	16.9	17.4	-0.48	15.6	15.7	-0.09
Andrei Kirilenko	64	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.51	7	-11	18	16.6	18.2	-1.61	15.4	16.3	-0.93
Greg Ostertag	21	21	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.12	-15	11	-26	15.6	17.6	-2.02	15.6	15.7	-0.04
Deron Williams	68	69	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.34	-7	3	-10	17.4	16.6	0.71	15.0	17.3	-2.30
Gordan Giricek	44	44	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.38	-7	3	-10	16.9	17.4	-0.52	14.2	16.9	-2.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.28,0.33,0.34,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.38,0.42,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.31,0.22,0.1,0.28,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.45,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 100, OKC 99	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.11,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.33,0.32,0.11,0.31,0.42,0.54,0.38,0.28,0.23,0.27,0	90.2%
DAL 115, MIL 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.09,0.16,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.15,0.21,0.24,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.43,0.42,0	89.9%
WAS 102, NJN 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.29,0.34,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.19,0.36,0.23,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.57,0.58,0	89.5%