NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	88		Excitement	4.5 [886]		MVP	Terry Porter (MIN): +4.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves	104		Comeback	2.2 [1055]		LVP	Danny Fortson (DEN): -15.8%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Washington	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Wolf	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	10	52%	0.04	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.00
Johnny Newman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	9	50%	-0.01	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Dean Garrett	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	7	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Stith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.02	7	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Cory Alexander	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	11	58%	-0.01	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Anthony Goldwire	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	9	28%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	10	33%	-0.09	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Danny Fortson	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.01	-0.09	0.06	16	54%	-0.08	2	-0.08	7	100%	0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	9	73%	0.10	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Tom Hammonds	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.01	0.05	9	70%	0.01	1	-0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Sam Mitchell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	12	52%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Micheal Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Wheat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	125%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	3	37%	-0.00	2	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Bill Curley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	5	43%	-0.03	2	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	14	53%	0.03	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	0.04	11	56%	-0.03	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	15	45%	-0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.8	26.0	16.7	24.0	0.3	28.0	122.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +37.8%

MIN +1.0%

DEN -0.5%

MIN +10.9%

MIN +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	MIN	NBA	DEN	MIN	NBA
this game	17.0	14.6	15.6	96.7	114.3	102.5
season	16.2	14.8		96.7	105.3
opponent	15.7	15.2		104.9	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	17.4	17.0	20.8	13.8	17.0
MIN	13.9	15.7	15.2	13.9	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Washington	13	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-23	30	10.2	18.2	-7.95	12.2	15.0	-2.77
Joe Wolf	9	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-20	24	9.2	17.9	-8.68	11.0	15.0	-3.95
Bryant Stith	16	17	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-15	14	18.1	16.8	1.24	16.6	14.1	2.51
Tony Battie	31	31	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-16	16	15.2	18.0	-2.76	14.9	14.4	0.50
Danny Fortson	64	64	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.30	3	-19	22	16.6	18.0	-1.36	14.1	15.9	-1.83
LaPhonso Ellis	51	52	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.08	-10	-6	-4	17.3	16.7	0.52	14.7	14.5	0.16
Anthony Goldwire	62	63	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.21	-15	-1	-14	17.6	15.8	1.89	13.9	16.2	-2.33
Cory Alexander	63	63	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.05	-10	-6	-4	17.8	15.4	2.44	15.4	12.9	2.52
Dean Garrett	54	53	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.04	-12	-4	-8	18.3	15.2	3.13	13.3	16.4	-3.03
Johnny Newman	37	37	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.25	-27	11	-38	19.2	15.6	3.66	16.2	13.5	2.76
Bobby Jackson	55	54	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.02	-19	3	-22	16.7	17.6	-0.94	15.5	13.3	2.20

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tom Hammonds	54	55	0.68	-0.18	0.86	-0.32	34	-18	52	15.8	12.8	3.02	17.6	16.1	1.50
Terry Porter	45	44	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.33	28	-12	40	15.9	13.3	2.63	18.4	15.8	2.56
Kevin Garnett	76	75	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.06	16	0	16	14.8	13.7	1.12	18.1	12.2	5.89
Sam Mitchell	51	50	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.10	9	7	2	14.3	15.0	-0.80	18.5	15.3	3.14
Stephon Marbury	71	71	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.23	3	13	-10	15.2	12.4	2.83	17.7	14.7	2.94
Anthony Peeler	50	50	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.02	7	9	-2	13.7	15.7	-2.05	17.9	16.0	1.81
Reggie Jordan	33	33	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.04	6	10	-4	14.5	14.7	-0.19	14.3	18.6	-4.35
Micheal Williams	8	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	20	-24	11.0	15.0	-3.95	9.2	17.9	-8.68
DeJuan Wheat	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	11.0	15.0	-3.95	7.7	17.9	-10.19
Cherokee Parks	46	45	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.26	-10	26	-36	12.7	16.5	-3.82	16.8	17.3	-0.48
Bill Curley	13	15	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.14	-7	23	-30	16.8	14.2	2.53	11.8	18.1	-6.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 77, HOU 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.84,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
TOR 76, DET 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.77,0.82,0.89,0.86,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
NYK 84, CHA 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.6%