NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	76		Excitement	3.8 [1051]		MVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): +20.5%
Detroit Pistons	95		Comeback	1.9 [813]		LVP	Andrea Bargnani (TOR): -11.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	-0.00	-0.03	17	51%	0.08	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Jason Kapono	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	6	58%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	7	50%	0.04	1	-0.00	8	62%	-0.01
Will Solomon	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamario Moon	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	5	90%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nathan Jawai	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roko Leni Ukic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	4	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	-0.06	3	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	11	42%	-0.01	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.02	-0.04	0.06	16	44%	-0.09	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.18	0.02	-0.00	16	76%	0.23	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.00	0.03	10	73%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.03	-0.04	9	50%	0.07	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	7	71%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	15	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Walter Herrmann	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	4	25%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.02	0.00	9	35%	-0.05	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	6	21%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.5	32.4	17.5	21.9	2.5	26.4	126.9
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +19.8%

DET +7.3%

DET +6.1%

DET +8.3%

DET +8.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	DET	NBA	TOR	DET	NBA
this game	16.6	18.5	15.5	92.7	115.9	106.4
season	15.1	16.9		105.0	104.9
opponent	15.7	15.6		106.2	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	18.0	16.6	17.6	14.5	16.6
DET	18.9	19.4	17.6	18.3	18.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nathan Jawai	5	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-17	15	10.6	17.0	-6.40	19.2	18.5	0.71
Roko Leni Ukic	23	22	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.07	-6	-13	7	16.0	16.9	-0.91	18.6	18.5	0.17
Joey Graham	38	38	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-17	15	16.3	16.8	-0.50	18.3	18.7	-0.46
Will Solomon	19	20	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.15	-12	-7	-5	16.2	16.7	-0.59	19.7	18.1	1.57
Jermaine O'Neal	35	34	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.19	-15	-4	-11	16.6	16.6	0.03	18.2	18.7	-0.52
Jason Kapono	35	34	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.12	-14	-5	-9	16.6	16.6	-0.07	19.1	18.1	1.03
Jamario Moon	63	65	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	-9	-1	16.3	17.7	-1.40	18.4	19.0	-0.62
Andrea Bargnani	69	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.00	-11	-8	-3	16.6	16.5	0.08	19.0	15.9	3.12
Chris Bosh	62	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.12	-10	-9	-1	17.2	14.8	2.33	18.0	20.0	-1.94
Anthony Parker	61	62	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.07	-13	-6	-7	17.4	14.3	3.12	18.0	19.9	-1.90

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	55	55	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.03	16	3	13	18.3	18.9	-0.62	17.9	14.0	3.89
Allen Iverson	66	67	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.00	14	5	9	18.0	20.5	-2.47	17.0	14.9	2.13
Rodney Stuckey	60	61	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.00	12	7	5	18.1	19.7	-1.66	17.0	15.4	1.59
Amir Johnson	37	35	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.15	4	15	-11	18.5	18.5	0.05	17.3	16.1	1.18
Rasheed Wallace	39	40	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.16	3	16	-13	17.7	19.3	-1.56	17.9	15.4	2.57
Antonio McDyess	38	39	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.15	13	6	7	19.9	17.3	2.58	15.7	17.5	-1.80
Richard Hamilton	37	37	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.05	8	11	-3	19.6	17.6	1.92	16.1	17.0	-0.96
Jason Maxiell	44	45	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.25	14	5	9	17.9	19.2	-1.25	15.4	18.1	-2.78
Will Bynum	15	13	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.06	6	13	-7	19.0	18.4	0.60	15.5	16.8	-1.36
Arron Afflalo	13	13	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.06	3	16	-13	20.3	18.2	2.13	13.5	17.2	-3.65
Walter Herrmann	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	17	-15	19.2	18.5	0.71	10.6	17.0	-6.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.77,0.82,0.89,0.86,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 84, CHA 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.6%
CLE 92, CHI 118	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.4,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
DAL 102, DET 115	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.37,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%