NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	89		Excitement	5.3 [734]		MVP	Detlef Schrempf (SEA): +13.4%
Seattle SuperSonics	101		Comeback	1.5 [757]		LVP	Rick Fox (LAL): -11.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	13	61%	0.10	2	-0.04	7	57%	-0.03
Nick Van Exel	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	6	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.04	10	59%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Corie Blount	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Elden Campbell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	43%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	23	47%	-0.03	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.03	5	50%	-0.07	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Rick Fox	-0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	8	50%	-0.01	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,0,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.01	0.10	-0.02	16	57%	0.19	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.00	5	82%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.01	4	89%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.03	0.04	18	63%	0.08	4	-0.06	7	86%	-0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	10	64%	0.05	2	-0.04	13	54%	-0.06
Jerome Kersey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	4	71%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.02
Nate McMillan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	51.0	1.8	31.2	14.8	28.0	1.8	32.5	161.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +46.9%

LAL -4.1%

LAL -7.4%

SEA +14.6%

LAL -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SEA	NBA	LAL	SEA	NBA
this game	17.9	15.6	15.6	104.7	116.1	102.5
season	14.8	15.3		110.0	109.3
opponent	16.2	15.6		102.3	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	20.6	18.6	16.5	16.1	17.9
SEA	14.7	15.7	15.6	16.6	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	24	23	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-15	18	19.1	17.4	1.67	15.9	15.5	0.38
Elden Campbell	31	33	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.08	-2	-10	8	18.1	17.8	0.34	16.5	15.1	1.42
Corie Blount	10	10	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.03	-7	-5	-2	19.2	17.7	1.49	13.3	15.9	-2.64
Derek Fisher	50	53	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.04	-5	-7	2	16.5	19.9	-3.36	14.0	18.2	-4.22
Robert Horry	52	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.22	-2	-10	8	17.4	18.7	-1.28	15.7	15.5	0.22
Nick Van Exel	35	34	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.11	-7	-5	-2	19.9	16.5	3.36	18.2	14.0	4.22
Eddie Jones	74	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.15	-8	-4	-4	17.2	22.2	-4.94	15.0	20.3	-5.31
Shaquille O'Neal	82	84	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.18	-14	2	-16	17.7	22.0	-4.27	15.7	15.0	0.65
Rick Fox	67	69	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.14	-18	6	-24	18.4	15.8	2.60	16.1	13.8	2.27

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	69	67	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.02	23	-11	34	15.4	16.5	-1.09	18.6	15.2	3.37
Hersey Hawkins	65	62	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.18	17	-5	22	15.2	16.8	-1.53	17.0	20.2	-3.20
Vin Baker	75	75	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.22	12	0	12	15.7	15.3	0.35	17.7	19.5	-1.83
Detlef Schrempf	72	69	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.23	6	6	0	15.8	14.8	1.01	17.3	20.2	-2.84
Jim McIlvaine	28	26	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.04	7	5	2	14.3	16.3	-1.99	18.3	17.7	0.56
Dale Ellis	34	33	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.08	2	10	-8	17.4	14.5	2.82	19.1	17.1	1.98
Jerome Kersey	9	8	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.01	5	7	-2	13.7	15.9	-2.19	19.7	17.7	2.06
Sam Perkins	49	50	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	10	-8	16.2	14.9	1.26	18.0	17.7	0.29
Nate McMillan	15	16	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.09	-3	15	-18	14.9	15.8	-0.84	21.2	17.1	4.15
Greg Anthony	19	19	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.12	-11	23	-34	15.9	15.6	0.34	14.4	18.9	-4.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.73,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.81,0.82,0.7,0.62,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.79,0.87,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 85, PHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.85,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.1%
GSW 111, CHA 115	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.83,0.87,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.88,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.99,1	92.7%
CHA 92, LAC 99	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.86,0.79,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.71,0.94,0.91,1	92.5%