NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	78		Excitement	6.9 [393]		MVP	Anthony Mason (CHH): +15.7%
Charlotte Hornets	85		Comeback	1.4 [689]		LVP	Charlie Ward (NYK): -23.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	16	56%	0.03	0	0.00	9	100%	0.06
Anthony Bowie	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
John Starks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	10	45%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.03	-0.04	24	46%	-0.01	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Charles Oakley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	10	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brooks Thompson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Terry Cummings	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	5	20%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.12	-0.14	-0.02	7	21%	-0.09	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.10	0.01	12	68%	0.19	1	-0.03	7	71%	0.00
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0	0.00	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	10	56%	0.00	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.03	-0.02	11	48%	0.06	2	-0.06	5	40%	-0.01
J.R. Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	17	55%	0.07	2	-0.09	6	100%	0.04
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	4	37%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Corey Beck	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Phills	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	12	29%	-0.03	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	0.00	7	25%	-0.12	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	25.5	14.8	28.5	1.6	33.7	128.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +46.1%

CHH +3.6%

NYK -0.1%

NYK -1.7%

CHH +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHH	NBA	NYK	CHH	NBA
this game	17.2	15.6	15.6	89.7	95.5	102.5
season	15.7	15.7		100.4	104.0
opponent	15.9	16.3		102.6	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.0	15.9	18.6	17.3	17.2
CHH	16.5	16.1	13.5	16.2	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Starks	35	36	0.23	-0.73	0.96	0.03	7	-14	21	15.9	18.0	-2.15	14.8	16.1	-1.29
Brooks Thompson	18	20	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-8	9	19.3	16.6	2.65	17.0	15.1	1.91
Terry Cummings	31	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-4	1	17.6	16.9	0.73	14.7	16.1	-1.43
Chris Mills	27	27	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	0	-7	18.6	16.5	2.06	16.1	15.3	0.77
Charles Oakley	77	80	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.30	-4	-3	-1	17.3	16.0	1.32	15.6	14.9	0.76
Allan Houston	79	82	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.33	-5	-2	-3	17.3	15.7	1.57	15.7	14.6	1.09
Anthony Bowie	33	33	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.22	-9	2	-11	17.0	17.3	-0.23	15.8	15.5	0.29
Charlie Ward	69	69	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.26	-8	1	-9	16.6	19.3	-2.65	15.1	17.0	-1.91
Larry Johnson	66	66	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.30	-7	0	-7	16.8	18.4	-1.66	15.9	14.6	1.36

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Geiger	55	55	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.31	14	-7	21	16.0	14.9	1.02	16.7	17.9	-1.16
David Wesley	70	70	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.27	15	-8	23	15.9	14.4	1.46	17.7	15.1	2.63
Bobby Phills	79	79	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.35	12	-5	17	16.0	12.2	3.80	17.2	17.4	-0.22
Glen Rice	75	75	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.21	9	-2	11	15.8	14.4	1.44	17.1	17.6	-0.48
Anthony Mason	74	73	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.32	2	5	-3	15.5	15.9	-0.43	17.6	14.9	2.76
J.R. Reid	7	6	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.02	2	5	-3	16.9	15.5	1.39	13.5	17.4	-3.94
Vlade Divac	42	40	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.02	-4	11	-15	15.0	16.1	-1.13	17.5	16.9	0.61
Vernon Maxwell	23	20	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.03	-7	14	-21	14.0	16.1	-2.12	17.5	17.1	0.43
Corey Beck	20	17	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.03	-8	15	-23	13.7	16.1	-2.35	15.1	17.7	-2.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.67,0.79,0.83,0.78,0.7,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.73,0.59,0.46,0.68,0.84,0.9,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 119, WAS 125	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.48,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.61,0.69,0.89,0.98,0.98,1	92.7%
MIL 89, BOS 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.65,0.66,0.79,0.63,0.64,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.84,0.94,0.99,1	92.6%
SAS 84, LAL 91	0.5,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.76,0.63,0.52,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.73,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.75,0.93,0.84,0.92,1	92.2%