NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	95		Excitement	4.8 [833]		MVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): +8.4%
Los Angeles Lakers	104		Comeback	1.0 [956]		LVP	Jalen Rose (IND): -11.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0	0.09	-0.04	0.05	15	69%	0.06	2	-0.06	5	80%	-0.00
Rik Smits	0.00	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	18	51%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Derrick McKey	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mark West	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Fred Hoiberg	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mullin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	56%	0.02	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Antonio Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.01	0.02	8	54%	-0.01	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Dale Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	11	44%	-0.06	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.03
Mark Jackson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	10	41%	-0.08	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Travis Best	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	0.02	7	40%	-0.08	1	-0.04	6	17%	-0.06

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	12	74%	0.13	2	-0.04	15	87%	0.02
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	11	75%	0.14	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	8	65%	0.08	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	8	78%	0.08	4	-0.06	7	86%	-0.00
Shea Seals	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	7	31%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	-0.01	-0.05	8	50%	-0.02	4	-0.08	14	64%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.4	30.6	16.5	28.6	2.0	34.3	141.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +47.0%

LAL +12.4%

LAL +7.0%

IND -17.8%

LAL +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	LAL	NBA	IND	LAL	NBA
this game	16.3	15.6	15.6	104.4	115.6	102.5
season	16.0	14.8		105.3	110.0
opponent	15.6	16.1		102.6	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	18.1	15.2	17.8	14.3	16.3
LAL	14.6	14.2	17.4	16.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rik Smits	26	27	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-10	11	19.7	14.9	4.82	16.0	15.4	0.67
Dale Davis	46	45	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.08	1	-10	11	16.6	15.9	0.72	15.2	16.0	-0.82
Fred Hoiberg	6	5	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-5	1	16.5	16.2	0.26	18.2	15.4	2.79
Mark West	16	15	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-7	5	13.9	16.8	-2.89	12.3	16.2	-3.96
Chris Mullin	36	36	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-6	3	18.9	14.5	4.36	15.7	15.5	0.21
Mark Jackson	65	65	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.13	-4	-5	1	16.9	14.7	2.24	14.4	18.7	-4.31
Travis Best	26	25	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-4	-1	14.7	16.9	-2.24	18.7	14.4	4.31
Antonio Davis	66	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.25	-5	-4	-1	16.3	16.2	0.13	15.9	14.6	1.28
Reggie Miller	69	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.19	-7	-2	-5	15.9	17.5	-1.58	15.6	15.4	0.24
Derrick McKey	52	52	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.25	-5	-4	-1	14.6	18.4	-3.78	15.5	15.6	-0.07
Jalen Rose	47	46	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.05	-12	3	-15	15.1	17.5	-2.46	15.8	15.3	0.53

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elden Campbell	52	55	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.21	8	1	7	15.3	15.9	-0.57	16.2	16.3	-0.13
Derek Fisher	72	73	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	-4	17	16.6	11.5	5.08	17.2	12.3	4.89
Shaquille O'Neal	62	60	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	-3	15	15.5	15.7	-0.27	16.4	15.9	0.58
Eddie Jones	76	75	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.20	6	3	3	15.2	17.5	-2.29	16.8	13.8	2.96
Kobe Bryant	42	44	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.28	2	7	-5	15.8	15.4	0.46	14.1	18.3	-4.23
Robert Horry	59	59	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.16	4	5	-1	16.1	14.6	1.50	16.3	16.2	0.00
Rick Fox	67	67	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.18	1	8	-7	14.8	17.8	-3.04	16.8	14.8	1.93
Corie Blount	15	17	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.02	1	8	-7	16.1	15.5	0.60	15.4	16.5	-1.11
Shea Seals	5	5	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	11	-13	10.6	15.9	-5.26	8.0	16.7	-8.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 90, MIA 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.81,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.82,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.86,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	95.3%
NYK 112, BKN 120	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.83,0.95,1,0.98,0.99,1	95.2%
SAS 84, DEN 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.82,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%