NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	111		Excitement	5.7 [647]		MVP	Anthony Mason (CHH): +15.2%
Los Angeles Clippers	98		Comeback	8.0 [67]		LVP	Lamond Murray (LAC): -13.2%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Mason	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.07	0.03	16	68%	0.19	1	-0.03	5	60%	0.01
Vernon Maxwell	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	7	73%	0.11	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Travis Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.01	13	59%	0.07	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Donald Royal	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.03	0.03	12	70%	0.09	2	-0.09	6	83%	0.00
B.J. Armstrong	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Reid	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Corey Beck	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	15	56%	-0.00	2	-0.05	11	91%	0.03
Bobby Phills	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	8	37%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	13	59%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.00	13	61%	0.07	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	7	52%	-0.01	1	-0.02	7	43%	-0.09
Pooh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	56%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Ike Austin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	12	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.05
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.05	0.02	12	53%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	2	33%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	12	42%	0.01	4	-0.14	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.8	33.0	16.8	27.2	1.7	26.3	129.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +33.4%

CHH +16.6%

CHH +12.6%

LAC -5.7%

LAC -6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	LAC	NBA	CHH	LAC	NBA
this game	16.2	15.9	15.6	123.3	110.1	102.5
season	15.7	15.5		104.0	101.0
opponent	15.1	15.9		109.2	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	15.7	15.7	15.4	18.3	16.2
LAC	15.6	14.3	18.9	15.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vernon Maxwell	62	61	0.85	-0.35	1.21	0.00	29	-16	45	15.4	18.2	-2.82	16.6	14.5	2.05
David Wesley	74	74	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.07	20	-7	27	16.0	17.4	-1.46	16.2	14.7	1.46
Matt Geiger	76	77	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.09	12	1	11	16.3	15.9	0.36	15.8	16.8	-1.03
Glen Rice	82	81	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.06	11	2	9	16.5	13.6	2.86	15.6	19.2	-3.63
Anthony Mason	80	78	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.03	10	3	7	16.7	12.2	4.54	15.3	20.6	-5.35
Donald Royal	9	9	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	11	-9	12.1	16.7	-4.58	17.4	15.8	1.67
Travis Williams	4	4	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.02	2	11	-9	13.5	16.4	-2.86	21.7	15.7	6.08
J.R. Reid	11	10	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	13	-13	16.5	16.2	0.36	18.5	15.6	2.88
Corey Beck	8	8	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	15	-17	16.5	16.2	0.29	13.9	16.1	-2.27
B.J. Armstrong	8	7	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	18	-23	18.4	16.0	2.35	15.7	16.0	-0.25
Bobby Phills	36	36	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.17	-14	27	-41	17.2	15.6	1.56	15.6	16.2	-0.61

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrick Martin	64	65	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.08	7	-20	27	16.3	15.0	1.37	17.1	13.9	3.20
Maurice Taylor	49	46	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.17	10	-23	33	16.0	15.9	0.08	17.1	15.4	1.70
Lorenzen Wright	42	40	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.08	-2	-11	9	15.8	16.1	-0.30	14.7	17.5	-2.81
James Robinson	32	33	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	-3	-7	13.9	17.1	-3.13	17.0	15.8	1.26
Rodney Rogers	48	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	-8	-5	-3	15.9	16.0	-0.06	17.0	15.3	1.68
Pooh Richardson	14	14	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.07	-8	-5	-3	15.8	16.0	-0.19	15.3	16.4	-1.12
Lamond Murray	73	76	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.07	-17	4	-21	16.3	14.1	2.22	15.5	20.1	-4.63
Eric Piatkowski	71	71	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.09	-17	4	-21	16.4	14.3	2.02	15.4	19.3	-3.84
Ike Austin	52	55	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.05	-20	7	-27	15.7	16.2	-0.47	16.7	15.4	1.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.77,0.67,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.37,0.14,0.12,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 120, DEN 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.21,0.17,0.24,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0	92.8%
DAL 96, TOR 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.83,0.78,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.29,0.18,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	92.2%
WAS 113, PHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.91,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.8,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.41,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	91.8%