NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	113		Excitement	4.9 [843]		MVP	DeShawn Stevenson (WAS): +18.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	98		Comeback	9.6 [237]		LVP	Kevin Ollie (PHI): -14.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeShawn Stevenson	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.15	0.03	0.00	10	85%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.05	-0.01	6	80%	0.16	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Gilbert Arenas	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.06	0.05	20	68%	0.26	5	-0.14	7	86%	0.01
Caron Butler	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.09	0.02	16	53%	0.13	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Roger Mason Jr.	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	4	100%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	5	64%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	5	36%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.02	0.03	9	25%	-0.14	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	-0.00	18	54%	0.15	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	90%	0.08	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.03	0.01	14	61%	0.10	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	4	100%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	11	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Steven Smith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivan McFarlin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	11	52%	0.05	7	-0.14	3	100%	0.01
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	8	25%	-0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.8	32.6	18.0	25.6	3.0	36.0	144.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +18.0%

WAS +10.0%

WAS +7.6%

WAS +13.2%

WAS +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	PHI	NBA	WAS	PHI	NBA
this game	14.5	16.1	15.4	118.9	105.4	104.5
season	14.8	15.5		107.8	101.7
opponent	15.7	15.3		105.2	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.9	13.9	13.6	15.7	14.5
PHI	15.1	16.7	17.7	14.9	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brendan Haywood	49	46	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.17	22	-7	29	13.8	15.4	-1.61	16.5	15.8	0.71
Caron Butler	84	81	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.01	20	-5	25	14.4	15.5	-1.14	16.3	14.9	1.38
Gilbert Arenas	77	76	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.02	17	-2	19	14.1	16.5	-2.42	16.4	14.6	1.80
DeShawn Stevenson	58	56	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.06	18	-3	21	13.7	15.8	-2.13	16.6	15.4	1.27
Roger Mason Jr.	27	26	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.01	9	6	3	14.1	14.7	-0.59	15.2	16.5	-1.34
Antawn Jamison	65	63	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	14	-13	14.8	13.9	0.93	16.1	16.2	-0.17
Antonio Daniels	44	44	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	11	-7	16.0	13.2	2.81	15.5	16.7	-1.13
Jarvis Hayes	32	32	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	19	-23	15.6	14.0	1.64	15.1	16.7	-1.61
Etan Thomas	39	41	-0.33	0.83	-1.17	0.02	-12	27	-39	15.2	14.1	1.05	16.2	16.0	0.18

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Hunter	40	40	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.22	8	-23	31	15.8	16.4	-0.60	14.8	14.3	0.50
Steven Smith	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-14	13	13.0	16.2	-3.19	15.0	14.5	0.47
Lou Williams	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-14	13	13.0	16.2	-3.19	15.0	14.5	0.47
Ivan McFarlin	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-15	15	13.0	16.2	-3.19	18.0	14.4	3.58
Rodney Carney	59	58	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.16	-1	-14	13	16.4	15.7	0.70	14.7	14.2	0.53
Samuel Dalembert	36	36	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.05	-6	-9	3	17.1	15.5	1.57	14.3	14.7	-0.37
Willie Green	47	50	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.04	-13	-2	-11	14.9	17.4	-2.52	14.9	14.1	0.77
Kyle Korver	62	63	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.00	-14	-1	-13	16.0	16.5	-0.50	14.5	14.6	-0.09
Chris Webber	70	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.02	-16	1	-17	16.6	14.8	1.77	14.2	15.7	-1.53
Andre Iguodala	81	83	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.01	-15	0	-15	16.0	17.1	-1.11	14.7	13.7	0.90
Kevin Ollie	64	66	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.01	-16	1	-17	16.6	15.0	1.63	14.1	15.4	-1.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.91,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.8,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.41,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 95, MIA 88	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.73,0.72,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.73,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.26,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.14,0.15,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.02,0,0	93.4%
LAL 96, UTA 85	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.37,0.36,0.22,0.13,0.06,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.0%
NYK 121, NJN 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.13,0.03,0.02,0,0,0	92.4%