NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	121		Excitement	6.0 [630]		MVP	Tim Thomas (NYK): +27.5%
New Jersey Nets	109		Comeback	4.1 [76]		LVP	Quentin Richardson (NYK): -13.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.20	0.09	0.01	12	87%	0.32	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Al Harrington	0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.16	0.11	0.00	21	67%	0.36	4	-0.10	16	94%	0.09
Wilson Chandler	0.22	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.20	0.04	0.03	12	89%	0.24	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
David Lee	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	62%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	2	60%	0.03	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Chris Duhon	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	9	43%	-0.03	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Quentin Richardson	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.15	0.00	-0.01	16	26%	-0.08	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.03	-0.03	10	55%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	10	59%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	7	71%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.10	-0.03	0.03	22	64%	0.16	5	-0.12	6	100%	0.02
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	62%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sean Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.02	0.02	12	64%	0.09	3	-0.09	4	25%	-0.07
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	6	46%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.05
Brook Lopez	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	7	57%	0.05	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.0	28.6	15.0	32.5	1.8	34.3	136.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN -3.2%

NYK +35.3%

NYK +7.5%

NYK +10.4%

NJN -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	NJN	NBA	NYK	NJN	NBA
this game	14.2	14.3	15.5	119.8	107.9	106.4
season	13.8	16.0		106.2	106.5
opponent	15.5	15.5		108.9	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	12.2	14.2	15.6	15.2	14.2
NJN	13.5	14.6	14.4	14.8	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Harrington	97	97	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.12	15	-3	18	14.0	19.5	-5.49	14.3	15.0	-0.74
Tim Thomas	65	65	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.09	15	-3	18	14.1	14.5	-0.47	14.5	13.9	0.53
Wilson Chandler	87	88	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.17	12	0	12	15.0	9.5	5.49	14.2	14.6	-0.38
Chris Duhon	80	80	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.13	7	5	2	14.2	14.2	0.05	14.2	14.6	-0.36
Jared Jeffries	37	38	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.12	5	7	-2	13.1	14.9	-1.85	14.7	14.0	0.72
Quentin Richardson	89	87	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.11	5	7	-2	14.0	15.8	-1.82	14.1	15.6	-1.57
David Lee	50	50	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.01	1	11	-10	14.8	13.7	1.09	14.3	14.2	0.10

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Williams	10	10	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-12	12	15.1	14.2	0.90	17.4	13.9	3.52
Ryan Anderson	28	27	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-10	8	13.4	14.6	-1.24	13.3	14.6	-1.22
Brook Lopez	56	54	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-8	4	14.6	13.9	0.68	13.9	14.6	-0.77
Yi Jianlian	59	59	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	-5	-2	14.5	14.0	0.53	14.1	14.5	-0.43
Vince Carter	81	83	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.21	0	-12	12	13.9	15.9	-2.01	14.6	12.5	2.10
Stromile Swift	25	27	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.07	-6	-6	0	13.8	14.4	-0.65	13.5	14.5	-1.02
Devin Harris	76	76	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-10	-2	-8	14.6	13.4	1.13	14.1	14.5	-0.39
Bobby Simmons	74	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.11	-8	-4	-4	14.5	13.7	0.85	14.7	13.0	1.63
Keyon Dooling	40	39	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.03	-13	1	-14	14.3	14.3	0.06	13.4	14.7	-1.29
Jarvis Hayes	56	56	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.17	-10	-2	-8	14.1	14.5	-0.32	14.5	13.8	0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.13,0.03,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 99, PHX 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.75,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.1,0.12,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.22,0.1,0.03,0.02,0.02,0	93.9%
NYK 97, WAS 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.69,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.22,0.1,0.21,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0	93.5%
DAL 95, PHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.72,0.62,0.52,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.18,0.1,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0	93.3%