NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	96		Excitement	4.3 [987]		MVP	Derek Fisher (LAL): +17.4%
Utah Jazz	85		Comeback	6.9 [511]		LVP	Jeremy Evans (UTA): -9.0%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.13	0.04	-0.00	6	88%	0.17	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.02
Lamar Odom	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.02	13	57%	0.10	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	14	55%	0.07	1	-0.02	10	70%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	7	43%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	10	67%	0.08	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Andrew Bynum	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	7	48%	-0.00	1	-0.02	9	33%	-0.09
Metta World Peace	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.01	0.04	16	57%	0.05	0	0.00	10	80%	0.01
Kyrylo Fesenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	9	39%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	8	37%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	15	50%	0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	10	45%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Weaver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	18	42%	-0.03	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	3.4	31.2	19.0	29.2	3.4	27.6	138.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +39.6%

LAL +2.5%

UTA -13.0%

LAL +20.2%

LAL +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	UTA	NBA	LAL	UTA	NBA
this game	15.7	16.9	15.5	107.9	96.6	105.7
season	15.9	15.9		108.8	106.4
opponent	15.3	15.5		108.2	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.5	14.8	13.7	18.5	15.7
UTA	16.5	16.5	19.7	14.9	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	57	57	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.14	13	-2	15	15.3	16.3	-1.03	15.8	18.9	-3.05
Pau Gasol	64	62	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.06	15	-4	19	14.7	18.0	-3.32	18.4	13.2	5.20
Metta World Peace	64	62	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.05	12	-1	13	14.7	18.0	-3.32	18.8	12.3	6.46
Shannon Brown	36	35	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.17	7	4	3	15.6	15.7	-0.11	13.7	19.0	-5.29
Steve Blake	36	36	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.17	5	6	-1	15.4	15.8	-0.35	13.6	19.2	-5.61
Derek Fisher	53	52	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.01	6	5	1	15.8	15.4	0.35	19.2	13.6	5.61
Kobe Bryant	53	53	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.01	4	7	-3	15.7	15.6	0.11	19.0	13.7	5.29
Luke Walton	25	26	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.13	-1	12	-13	18.0	14.7	3.32	12.3	18.8	-6.46
Andrew Bynum	57	57	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.15	-6	17	-23	17.1	13.1	3.95	16.3	18.0	-1.70

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyrylo Fesenko	51	51	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.18	7	-18	25	17.0	16.8	0.24	15.7	15.6	0.04
Kyle Weaver	21	20	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.04	-2	-9	7	13.0	18.1	-5.06	16.3	15.5	0.84
Al Jefferson	62	64	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.07	-5	-6	1	18.5	13.2	5.26	15.9	15.0	0.85
Paul Millsap	71	71	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.19	-1	-10	9	17.7	13.7	3.96	15.8	14.9	0.96
CJ Miles	66	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-7	3	16.9	16.9	0.05	16.5	13.0	3.46
Derrick Favors	35	35	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.09	-7	-4	-3	14.0	18.8	-4.86	15.1	16.0	-0.93
Jeremy Evans	11	11	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.14	-21	10	-31	18.2	16.7	1.47	11.5	16.2	-4.79
Earl Watson	67	69	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.22	-9	-2	-7	18.1	13.0	5.06	15.5	16.3	-0.84
Gordon Hayward	56	57	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.15	-13	2	-15	15.7	19.0	-3.35	15.3	16.3	-1.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.37,0.36,0.22,0.13,0.06,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 102, DAL 89	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.26,0.19,0.09,0.14,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.9%
TOR 119, ATL 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.7,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.87,0.83,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.38,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.18,0.14,0.04,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.2%
UTA 104, MEM 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.4,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.17,0.15,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.1%