inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 104 Excitement5.2 [796] MVPMatt Harpring (UTA): +21.1%
Memphis Grizzlies 88 Comeback6.3 [383] LVPRudy Gay (MEM): -9.1%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Matt Harpring0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.140.07-0.011271%0.272-0.0611100%0.07
Mehmet Okur0.170,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.060.09-0.021257%0.1700.00450%-0.04
Gordan Giricek0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.03590%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Carlos Boozer0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.090.030.071675%0.144-0.0900%0.00
Rafael Araujo0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ronnie Brewer0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dee Brown0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01125%0.0000.00250%0.00
Paul Millsap0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02050%0.0010.00250%0.00
Derek Fisher-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.070.03-0.021032%0.001-0.022100%0.01
Deron Williams-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.010.010.041070%0.044-0.0600%0.00
Jarron Collins-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0010%-0.0300.0020%-0.03
Andrei Kirilenko-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.01550%0.013-0.08425%-0.04

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Hakim Warrick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.01-0.031154%0.071-0.02250%-0.01
Pau Gasol0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.10-0.010.041758%0.102-0.051486%0.02
Dahntay Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.010.021100%0.0300.002100%0.02
Lawrence Roberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.002100%0.061-0.0400%0.00
Alexander Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02160%0.0000.00333%0.00
Scott Padgett0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.00-0.0330%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Chucky Atkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0100%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Junior Harrington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00350%0.011-0.032100%0.02
Tarence Kinsey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.03-0.02542%-0.022-0.042100%0.00
Mike Miller0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.08-0.00-0.031941%0.023-0.083100%0.01
Damon Stoudamire0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.02825%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Rudy Gay0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.11-0.01-0.021025%-0.081-0.01450%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.11.630.015.824.51.827.2124.0
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +62.1%
MEM -7.4%
UTA +4.5%
MEM -8.0%
MEM -1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTAMEMNBAUTAMEMNBA
this game14.716.215.4111.894.6104.5
season15.915.1107.4105.1
opponent15.115.0110.1104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA16.014.113.715.214.7
MEM15.314.717.617.516.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Matt Harpring55560.75-0.251.00-0.2233-175014.115.7-1.6616.116.5-0.42
Gordan Giricek52530.55-0.050.600.0218-22014.215.5-1.3115.517.2-1.65
Carlos Boozer68680.490.010.48-0.2124-83215.014.01.0516.615.41.20
Mehmet Okur54550.450.050.400.13115614.415.2-0.8617.314.72.58
Derek Fisher57570.360.140.230.04115614.914.40.5616.515.90.57
Paul Millsap40400.240.26-0.03-0.06106414.614.8-0.2715.616.7-1.16
Deron Williams72720.090.41-0.33-0.1588014.814.40.4516.714.81.84
Ronnie Brewer440.000.50-0.500.18-622-2817.014.62.3715.016.3-1.29
Dee Brown540.000.50-0.500.15-521-2616.814.62.1915.016.3-1.29
Rafael Araujo1313-0.070.57-0.630.20-925-3417.514.33.1712.716.8-4.12
Jarron Collins1110-0.110.61-0.730.00-420-2412.115.1-2.9915.516.3-0.83
Andrei Kirilenko3433-0.250.75-1.000.07-1127-3815.614.31.3016.716.00.67

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lawrence Roberts47480.15-0.650.80-0.1711-273816.515.90.6014.115.4-1.25
Alexander Johnson15160.06-0.560.62-0.095-212614.016.7-2.6718.214.04.25
Dahntay Jones1516-0.00-0.500.50-0.238-243216.716.20.5115.014.70.32
Scott Padgett1010-0.06-0.440.370.26-11-5-618.915.92.9815.714.61.09
Chucky Atkins99-0.06-0.440.370.11-6-10414.416.4-1.9820.614.16.45
Tarence Kinsey2124-0.08-0.420.33-0.02-2-141216.116.3-0.1214.614.8-0.14
Damon Stoudamire5957-0.09-0.410.32-0.090-161616.415.90.4714.015.9-1.84
Pau Gasol7168-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.06-9-7-216.316.20.0713.717.4-3.65
Junior Harrington2526-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.08-9-7-216.516.10.3314.214.9-0.69
Mike Miller8179-0.39-0.11-0.280.23-215-2616.117.2-1.1614.914.00.86
Rudy Gay6968-0.530.03-0.56-0.00-182-2016.315.90.4314.615.2-0.59
Hakim Warrick4344-0.820.32-1.15-0.00-2812-4016.016.4-0.3515.414.11.29


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.4,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.17,0.15,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
NOP 121, HOU 1160.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.44,0.41,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.14,0.2,0.1,0.03,0,0,0,093.4%
LAL 96, UTA 850.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.37,0.36,0.22,0.13,0.06,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,093.1%
NOP 120, DEN 1120.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.21,0.17,0.24,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,092.3%