NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	77		Excitement	6.2 [522]		MVP	Austin Croshere (IND): +1.2%
Indiana Pacers	82		Comeback	1.2 [1020]		LVP	Mark Jackson (IND): -15.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scott Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aaron McKie	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.03	11	50%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Tim Thomas	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	18	39%	-0.09	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Eric Snow	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	4	25%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Davis	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	10	29%	-0.10	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	17	44%	-0.03	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Allen Iverson	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15	-0.12	-0.05	-0.02	9	54%	-0.02	6	-0.13	6	50%	-0.05

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	5	62%	0.04	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.01	10	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Mark West	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.00	5	43%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	13	47%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	11	36%	-0.07	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.02
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.02	-0.01	10	42%	-0.02	5	-0.13	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	24.6	15.6	25.3	2.3	36.6	131.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +42.0%

IND +3.1%

PHI -1.4%

IND +4.7%

IND +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	IND	NBA	PHI	IND	NBA
this game	15.6	16.9	15.6	86.5	93.2	102.5
season	15.4	16.0		99.7	105.3
opponent	16.1	15.5		99.2	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.7	18.9	15.2	14.0	15.6
IND	17.4	17.1	13.6	20.3	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	38	37	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.09	5	-10	15	15.0	16.1	-1.08	17.8	16.3	1.42
Allen Iverson	56	57	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.33	10	-15	25	14.3	17.9	-3.59	18.8	13.5	5.27
Scott Williams	26	24	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.01	-7	2	-9	16.2	15.4	0.76	17.8	16.6	1.24
Tim Thomas	62	62	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.36	5	-10	15	15.2	16.6	-1.35	17.7	15.0	2.69
Derrick Coleman	74	76	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.39	4	-9	13	15.8	14.5	1.30	16.9	17.4	-0.56
Joe Smith	27	26	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.01	-10	5	-15	16.6	15.2	1.35	15.0	17.7	-2.69
Mark Davis	33	33	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.02	-16	11	-27	17.3	14.6	2.63	13.6	18.9	-5.32
Theo Ratliff	78	76	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.33	-7	2	-9	15.2	18.4	-3.13	16.7	18.2	-1.53
Eric Snow	51	49	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.27	-9	4	-13	16.5	14.5	2.00	16.4	17.6	-1.23

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Davis	58	59	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.35	1	4	-3	17.0	16.9	0.10	15.5	15.9	-0.48
Chris Mullin	49	47	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.27	3	2	1	16.1	17.9	-1.78	15.0	16.4	-1.40
Mark Jackson	58	58	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.26	2	3	-1	15.9	19.0	-3.09	14.7	17.3	-2.52
Dale Davis	60	61	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.35	-3	8	-11	17.4	15.8	1.63	15.7	15.5	0.22
Reggie Miller	61	60	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.34	-3	8	-11	16.2	18.6	-2.34	14.9	17.0	-2.10
Jalen Rose	31	34	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.01	7	-2	9	18.0	16.3	1.70	16.2	15.2	1.00
Austin Croshere	24	25	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.02	8	-3	11	16.9	17.0	-0.08	16.8	15.2	1.64
Derrick McKey	39	40	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.11	3	2	1	17.4	16.6	0.86	16.0	15.3	0.78
Travis Best	30	31	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.10	3	2	1	19.0	15.9	3.09	17.3	14.7	2.52
Mark West	30	30	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.01	4	1	3	16.9	17.0	-0.10	15.9	15.5	0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.79,0.96,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 95, SAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.65,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.9,1,1,1	94.0%
CHI 100, HOU 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.76,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.83,0.77,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%
IND 96, WAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.74,0.85,0.97,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1	93.6%