NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	95		Excitement	5.5 [740]		MVP	Richard Jefferson (SAS): +17.4%
San Antonio Spurs	107		Comeback	1.1 [1253]		LVP	Blake Griffin (LAC): -24.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Craig Smith	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.04	6	88%	0.14	1	-0.02	5	60%	0.01
Rasual Butler	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	0.01	14	60%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Brian Cook	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.04	9	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	4	67%	0.07	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Willie Warren	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	7	62%	0.04	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Jarron Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	8	69%	0.06	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	15	37%	-0.06	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.15	-0.09	0.01	18	29%	-0.18	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.03	-0.02	12	73%	0.20	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.02	0.03	9	88%	0.19	4	-0.08	7	100%	0.03
Tony Parker	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.04	-0.02	16	55%	0.13	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
James Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.00	3	87%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Alonzo Gee	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Quinn	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.03	2	-0.03	5	80%	-0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	62%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	9	44%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	7	43%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	4.6	27.4	18.4	26.4	3.7	42.3	152.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +23.8%

SAS +18.3%

LAC -2.3%

SAS +4.6%

SAS +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SAS	NBA	LAC	SAS	NBA
this game	15.3	15.9	15.5	103.3	115.1	105.7
season	15.4	15.5		104.4	109.3
opponent	15.2	15.3		103.6	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.5	16.1	17.5	11.6	15.3
SAS	17.8	15.2	16.0	14.9	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarron Collins	12	11	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-15	18	16.1	15.1	0.93	16.5	15.8	0.78
Brian Cook	24	26	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-13	14	11.6	16.6	-4.93	15.2	16.1	-0.98
Willie Warren	33	35	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.21	5	-17	22	13.4	16.3	-2.93	15.4	16.2	-0.78
Craig Smith	37	39	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.09	0	-12	12	11.1	18.1	-7.01	15.4	16.2	-0.77
DeAndre Jordan	27	28	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.12	-14	2	-16	17.9	14.2	3.65	14.8	16.3	-1.49
Rasual Butler	74	74	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-5	-2	15.6	14.0	1.58	16.4	13.8	2.54
Al-Farouq Aminu	51	51	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.16	-8	-4	-4	15.1	15.5	-0.43	16.2	15.5	0.74
Eric Bledsoe	59	58	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.06	-17	5	-22	16.3	13.4	2.93	16.2	15.4	0.78
Ryan Gomes	71	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.22	-8	-4	-4	16.5	11.1	5.35	16.0	15.5	0.50
Blake Griffin	72	71	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.10	-15	3	-18	16.2	12.1	4.05	15.8	16.1	-0.36

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Parker	68	70	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.04	18	-6	24	15.8	15.9	-0.08	15.8	13.7	2.09
Antonio McDyess	52	51	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.18	10	2	8	15.9	15.8	0.19	13.8	17.1	-3.25
Manu Ginobili	71	67	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.14	10	2	8	16.2	14.9	1.25	15.0	16.0	-1.00
George Hill	51	50	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.23	5	7	-2	15.8	15.9	-0.08	14.6	16.0	-1.43
Tiago Splitter	33	32	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.07	10	2	8	15.1	16.3	-1.24	14.6	15.6	-0.99
Tim Duncan	43	41	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.15	15	-3	18	15.2	16.4	-1.25	16.6	14.2	2.33
Richard Jefferson	66	66	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.14	4	8	-4	16.3	14.8	1.47	16.1	13.1	3.06
James Anderson	24	24	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.06	-1	13	-14	16.0	15.8	0.19	12.4	16.3	-3.86
Alonzo Gee	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	11	-10	9.5	16.0	-6.50	16.5	15.2	1.26
Chris Quinn	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	11	-10	9.5	16.0	-6.50	16.5	15.2	1.26
Gary Neal	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	11	-10	9.5	16.0	-6.50	16.5	15.2	1.26
DeJuan Blair	51	53	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.18	-14	26	-40	16.6	14.9	1.74	16.4	13.7	2.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.65,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.9,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 75, DET 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.67,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.65,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
PHI 88, MIN 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
PHI 77, IND 82	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.79,0.96,0.92,1	94.0%