NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	96		Excitement	8.4 [165]		MVP	Travis Best (IND): +7.5%
Atlanta Hawks	92		Comeback	4.1 [169]		LVP	Steven Smith (ATL): -26.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Best	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	11	54%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Derrick McKey	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,0.03,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.06	0.00	4	91%	0.22	3	-0.15	3	67%	0.02
Reggie Miller	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.06	0.10	-0.04	0.01	17	69%	0.10	2	-0.04	11	91%	0.05
Mark Jackson	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	11	41%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	53%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.03
Fred Hoiberg	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	8	37%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	37%	-0.02	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.02
Rik Smits	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	14	36%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mullin	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.04	0.00	8	25%	-0.12	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Drew Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.09,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	18	52%	-0.02	1	-0.05	12	42%	-0.11
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.03	-0.09	0.01	20	52%	-0.07	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.17	-0.17	-0.15	-0.06	-0.04	22	35%	-0.10	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.06	-0.15	0.00	6	17%	-0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.09	-0.16	0.01	19	44%	-0.14	3	-0.12	5	40%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	2.0	26.0	15.5	25.5	2.4	41.0	134.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +59.3%

IND +16.8%

ATL -16.5%

ATL -11.9%

IND +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ATL	NBA	IND	ATL	NBA
this game	16.1	16.4	15.6	107.9	104.5	102.5
season	16.0	16.1		105.3	105.3
opponent	16.0	16.1		101.5	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.9	16.1	18.6	13.3	16.1
ATL	16.6	17.4	15.7	16.0	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Best	48	48	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.44	12	-8	20	15.0	17.5	-2.58	16.6	16.2	0.41
Derrick McKey	53	55	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.45	9	-5	14	15.4	17.2	-1.85	16.5	16.2	0.30
Reggie Miller	67	67	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.43	5	-1	6	16.1	16.1	0.01	16.0	17.6	-1.60
Jalen Rose	34	34	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.28	3	1	2	14.9	16.9	-2.04	16.1	16.6	-0.41
Antonio Davis	39	40	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.15	4	0	4	17.3	15.2	2.07	17.9	15.1	2.85
Dale Davis	55	52	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.27	-2	6	-8	15.8	16.6	-0.81	15.4	17.9	-2.48
Rik Smits	56	56	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	-2	8	16.4	15.6	0.81	17.4	14.6	2.88
Fred Hoiberg	8	7	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.04	-2	6	-8	14.4	16.3	-1.95	11.7	16.8	-5.09
Chris Mullin	44	41	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.03	-7	11	-18	17.3	15.0	2.32	16.2	16.6	-0.33
Mark Jackson	41	40	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	-0.06	-8	12	-20	17.5	15.0	2.58	16.2	16.6	-0.41

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Smith	60	62	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.05	2	-6	8	16.7	15.7	0.95	16.9	14.4	2.55
Greg Anderson	8	8	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	-1	-2	19.7	16.1	3.69	16.2	16.1	0.11
Drew Barry	26	25	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-3	2	14.9	17.0	-2.09	14.9	16.6	-1.76
Tyrone Corbin	58	61	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	0	-4	16.7	15.8	0.91	16.8	14.7	2.09
Dikembe Mutombo	85	87	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.41	-1	-3	2	16.3	19.0	-2.69	16.1	16.5	-0.36
Mookie Blaylock	82	83	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.37	-3	-1	-2	16.4	15.8	0.61	16.3	14.7	1.59
Chucky Brown	39	37	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.31	-6	2	-8	16.4	16.4	-0.02	14.5	17.3	-2.75
Alan Henderson	82	82	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.39	-4	0	-4	16.2	19.7	-3.51	16.1	17.0	-0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.62,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.73,0.61,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.73,0.64,0.4,0.38,0.19,0.28,0.33,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 90, CHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.16,0.08,0	92.4%
NYK 105, GSW 100	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.72,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.53,0.41,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.22,0.05,0	91.9%
DET 84, CLE 74	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.72,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.74,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.53,0.28,0.19,0.11,0.03,0,0	91.9%