NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	115		Excitement	6.8 [423]		MVP	Jermaine O'Neal (POR): +12.5%
Phoenix Suns	110		Comeback	1.4 [227]		LVP	Jason Kidd (PHX): -30.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jermaine O'Neal	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.07	0.00	7	76%	0.15	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Gary Trent	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.01	17	60%	0.11	2	-0.05	11	64%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.02	-0.05	16	50%	0.06	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	11	60%	0.05	0	0.00	8	75%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	9	58%	0.08	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Kelvin Cato	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rick Brunson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	6	55%	0.01	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.01
Vincent Askew	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	3	67%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.02	10	33%	-0.09	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.02	17	70%	0.10	3	-0.04	10	80%	0.01
George McCloud	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hot Rod Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	69%	0.05	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0.04	14	60%	-0.02	1	-0.02	19	74%	-0.02
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	9	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rex Chapman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	22	39%	-0.11	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.22,-0.27,-0.31	-0.31	-0.26	-0.08	-0.03	15	20%	-0.15	6	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.8	30.1	15.5	29.4	2.7	47.9	152.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +56.7%

POR +2.8%

PHX -8.3%

PHX -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	PHX	NBA	POR	PHX	NBA
this game	13.9	13.6	15.6	109.5	105.8	102.5
season	15.9	15.0		101.9	105.3
opponent	15.9	15.4		100.0	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.3	16.7	15.4	10.4	13.9
PHX	13.3	14.6	14.6	12.5	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Brunson	55	54	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.33	10	-5	15	12.8	15.2	-2.42	13.8	13.5	0.28
Jermaine O'Neal	46	45	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.06	19	-14	33	15.6	12.6	3.02	15.7	12.1	3.68
Vincent Askew	34	36	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.25	3	2	1	11.7	15.0	-3.31	12.9	14.0	-1.07
Alvin Williams	85	83	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.18	5	0	5	13.8	14.3	-0.54	13.8	13.0	0.75
Gary Trent	89	86	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.33	-4	9	-13	13.3	17.5	-4.23	13.3	15.4	-2.18
Arvydas Sabonis	62	60	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	4	-3	14.8	12.7	2.14	14.0	13.1	0.92
Rasheed Wallace	74	74	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.26	-5	10	-15	13.8	14.3	-0.49	13.2	14.7	-1.48
Kenny Anderson	71	71	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.22	-5	10	-15	14.7	12.2	2.53	13.4	14.2	-0.88
Kelvin Cato	6	8	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.02	1	4	-3	21.7	13.4	8.22	11.0	13.9	-2.86
Stacey Augmon	3	3	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	5	-5	7.0	14.1	-7.12	11.3	13.7	-2.38

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George McCloud	3	3	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-5	5	11.3	13.7	-2.38	7.0	14.1	-7.12
Cedric Ceballos	5	6	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-4	3	12.8	13.7	-0.89	14.8	13.9	0.97
Hot Rod Williams	15	15	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.03	-2	-3	1	15.5	13.3	2.21	12.9	14.1	-1.14
Mark Bryant	51	51	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-4	3	13.4	13.9	-0.46	15.0	12.9	2.15
Steve Nash	33	32	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.30	5	-10	15	12.3	14.3	-2.01	13.0	14.3	-1.36
Antonio McDyess	41	43	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.03	-7	2	-9	15.0	12.7	2.28	16.6	12.0	4.60
Clifford Robinson	93	95	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.30	1	-6	7	13.5	14.6	-1.11	13.6	17.3	-3.74
Jason Kidd	79	81	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.28	-2	-3	1	13.7	13.6	0.06	13.7	14.7	-1.03
Kevin Johnson	43	42	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.16	-8	3	-11	15.2	12.5	2.71	14.3	13.7	0.58
Rex Chapman	86	85	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.29	-5	0	-5	12.9	17.1	-4.13	13.3	16.6	-3.38
Danny Manning	71	72	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.32	-5	0	-5	13.5	14.1	-0.61	13.6	14.5	-0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.41,0.33,0.27,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.37,0.26,0.32,0.3,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 88, MIN 79	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.4,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0	94.5%
DAL 94, MEM 85	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.01,0	94.1%
SAS 84, GSW 76	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.22,0.14,0.08,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.05,0,0,0	94.0%