NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	108		Excitement	6.2 [526]		MVP	Ray Allen (MIL): +21.6%
Milwaukee Bucks	100		Comeback	2.0 [583]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): -13.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Corbin	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.03	0.08	-0.04	8	75%	0.17	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.04	0.09	0.00	18	56%	0.13	0	0.00	12	92%	0.07
Dikembe Mutombo	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.08	0.02	10	72%	0.15	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.03
Mookie Blaylock	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.05	-0.02	18	53%	0.13	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Alan Henderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	12	59%	0.06	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.01
Anthony Miller	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22	0.22	0.03	0.13	-0.05	22	58%	0.31	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.07	0.11	0.00	8	78%	0.20	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Lang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	4	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	10	50%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	10	40%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.05	0.03	17	51%	-0.08	2	-0.06	13	62%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.5	24.3	15.3	29.7	2.4	26.2	122.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +18.6%

ATL +15.0%

ATL +2.6%

ATL +11.2%

ATL +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIL	NBA	ATL	MIL	NBA
this game	15.4	16.8	15.6	120.0	112.4	102.5
season	16.1	16.0		105.3	101.1
opponent	15.1	16.0		102.8	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.3	12.5	16.2	15.8	15.4
MIL	15.4	18.8	15.1	17.8	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mookie Blaylock	85	84	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.28	8	0	8	15.5	13.6	1.93	17.0	13.6	3.35
Tyrone Corbin	60	61	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.30	6	2	4	15.2	15.8	-0.52	17.3	15.7	1.58
Steven Smith	83	81	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.30	0	8	-8	15.5	14.1	1.39	16.1	23.7	-7.68
Greg Anderson	11	11	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.04	11	-3	14	12.8	15.8	-2.97	21.2	16.1	5.04
Alan Henderson	82	82	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.29	-1	9	-10	15.5	14.1	1.42	16.2	23.1	-6.92
Anthony Miller	8	7	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.03	9	-1	10	14.1	15.5	-1.42	23.1	16.2	6.92
Chucky Brown	42	41	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.07	10	-2	12	15.2	15.6	-0.35	17.0	16.6	0.44
Dikembe Mutombo	77	77	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.30	-3	11	-14	16.0	12.2	3.73	16.2	20.1	-3.84
Chris Crawford	2	1	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	8	-8	9.0	15.6	-6.57	8.0	16.9	-8.86

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Lang	21	20	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-10	12	14.3	17.5	-3.18	14.1	15.8	-1.64
Elliot Perry	62	64	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.27	8	-16	24	15.8	19.0	-3.16	16.7	12.3	4.33
Ricky Pierce	13	12	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.04	-8	0	-8	19.8	16.2	3.61	13.9	15.7	-1.74
Ervin Johnson	55	56	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.20	-3	-5	2	17.2	16.0	1.24	16.7	13.3	3.37
Ray Allen	81	83	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.30	0	-8	8	16.1	23.7	-7.68	15.5	14.1	1.39
Tyrone Hill	72	73	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.33	-1	-7	6	16.9	16.1	0.80	16.1	12.7	3.35
Armen Gilliam	30	31	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.00	-14	6	-20	17.2	16.5	0.71	12.5	17.0	-4.53
Glenn Robinson	80	80	-0.45	-0.06	-0.39	-0.21	-8	0	-8	16.6	17.8	-1.13	15.1	18.0	-2.90
Michael Curry	31	31	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.06	-16	8	-24	19.5	15.3	4.17	14.0	16.2	-2.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.31,0.19,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 112, CLE 104	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.14,0.03,0.1,0.09,0	92.6%
NOH 87, NJN 74	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.39,0.37,0.24,0.25,0.36,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.02,0,0,0	92.5%
LAC 103, CHI 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.56,0.46,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.08,0.04,0,0	92.2%