NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	103		Excitement	6.7 [491]		MVP	Corey Maggette (LAC): +15.9%
Chicago Bulls	89		Comeback	2.5 [176]		LVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): -33.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.09	0.03	7	71%	0.20	2	-0.04	17	82%	0.02
Quinton Ross	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	0.00	3	75%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Elton Brand	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.05	0.01	14	64%	0.15	3	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Cuttino Mobley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	-0.04	0.03	16	68%	0.17	4	-0.15	5	100%	0.03
Daniel Ewing	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0,0	0.03	0.02	0.05	6	69%	0.07	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	45%	0.05	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Jason Hart	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	5	50%	0.04	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Tim Thomas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	39%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.05	-0.01	10	66%	0.19	1	-0.04	9	56%	-0.07
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.07	-0.02	5	50%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Viktor Khryapa	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.08	-0.08	0.02	21	58%	0.03	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.01
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	15	37%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	9	56%	0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	4	25%	-0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.27,-0.3,-0.3,-0.33,-0.33	-0.33	-0.17	-0.14	0.01	12	32%	-0.18	5	-0.15	7	86%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.8	30.0	15.8	30.0	2.6	36.2	141.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +49.9%

LAC +23.8%

CHI -15.1%

CHI -2.2%

CHI -6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	CHI	NBA	LAC	CHI	NBA
this game	15.6	15.4	15.4	110.8	95.7	104.5
season	15.7	14.5		103.3	103.1
opponent	15.9	15.4		98.1	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	19.3	11.9	15.4	16.7	15.6
CHI	16.7	15.8	14.6	14.7	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Maggette	80	78	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.12	21	-7	28	15.7	14.5	1.29	15.9	12.9	2.94
Cuttino Mobley	82	83	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.04	23	-9	32	15.5	16.5	-1.00	15.6	13.9	1.68
Daniel Ewing	40	42	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.15	10	4	6	15.6	15.6	0.01	15.4	15.4	0.01
Elton Brand	79	80	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.11	16	-2	18	15.6	15.4	0.25	15.6	13.8	1.80
Chris Kaman	49	47	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.34	-6	20	-26	17.0	13.9	3.11	14.3	16.5	-2.22
Tim Thomas	43	43	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.07	7	7	0	13.2	17.6	-4.48	15.7	15.2	0.47
Jason Hart	56	53	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.07	2	12	-10	16.1	14.8	1.35	15.4	15.4	-0.09
Quinton Ross	36	39	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	17	-20	15.4	15.7	-0.30	14.6	15.9	-1.30

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrus Thomas	16	16	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.10	-2	-12	10	13.7	15.8	-2.07	12.6	16.2	-3.63
Thabo Sefolosha	18	17	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-11	8	14.3	15.7	-1.32	13.2	16.1	-2.93
Viktor Khryapa	2	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-12	10	11.0	15.5	-4.49	18.0	15.5	2.46
Adrian Griffin	36	34	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.13	-8	-6	-2	16.6	14.7	1.89	14.5	16.2	-1.69
P.J. Brown	62	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.11	-7	-7	0	15.5	15.1	0.45	15.6	15.5	0.18
Luol Deng	81	82	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.18	-5	-9	4	15.0	17.9	-2.89	15.6	15.6	-0.08
Chris Duhon	33	33	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.05	-14	0	-14	14.6	15.8	-1.18	13.5	16.7	-3.14
Kirk Hinrich	73	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.16	-9	-5	-4	15.8	13.7	2.10	16.7	11.7	4.98
Ben Gordon	67	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.23	-7	-7	0	15.5	15.2	0.34	16.5	12.7	3.76
Ben Wallace	77	78	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.19	-13	-1	-12	15.7	14.1	1.54	16.1	12.9	3.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.56,0.46,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.08,0.04,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 112, CLE 104	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.14,0.03,0.1,0.09,0	93.5%
NOK 88, POR 75	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0,0,0	93.4%
SAS 88, LAC 82	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.47,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.15,0.05,0.09,0.05,0	93.1%