NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	87		Excitement	6.2 [542]		MVP	P.J. Brown (NOH): +6.2%
New Jersey Nets	74		Comeback	1.5 [290]		LVP	Aaron Williams (NJN): -21.6%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Brown	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	9	64%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
George Lynch	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.05	-0.03	7	50%	0.11	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Robert Traylor	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	70%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Stacey Augmon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	56%	-0.01	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
Baron Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.03	12	59%	0.05	3	-0.10	8	62%	-0.02
Kenny Anderson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	7	43%	-0.01	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.10	-0.08	0.02	22	36%	-0.17	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	6	44%	0.00	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	14	41%	-0.06	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.03
Kenyon Martin	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	24	45%	0.02	4	-0.14	3	100%	0.02
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.08	-0.09	0.03	17	49%	-0.06	3	-0.14	9	78%	-0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.13	-0.09	0.00	4	0%	-0.10	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.5	28.9	15.4	27.5	2.4	27.7	129.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +43.9%

NJN -7.8%

NOH +14.5%

NJN -1.9%

NOH +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	NJN	NBA	NOH	NJN	NBA
this game	17.2	15.0	15.5	97.8	82.2	101.6
season	15.9	15.0		101.6	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.6		96.1	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	17.9	17.9	14.7	18.7	17.2
NJN	14.2	14.8	16.0	14.9	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baron Davis	67	69	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.08	23	-10	33	16.8	18.6	-1.86	15.5	13.1	2.43
David Wesley	60	61	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.02	16	-3	19	17.1	17.5	-0.42	14.7	15.5	-0.78
P.J. Brown	56	57	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.06	14	-1	15	17.2	17.4	-0.20	15.0	14.9	0.03
Robert Traylor	37	35	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.06	13	0	13	17.1	17.4	-0.31	14.9	15.0	-0.07
George Lynch	45	46	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.07	9	4	5	17.9	16.6	1.32	14.9	15.0	-0.09
Jamal Mashburn	79	81	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.07	6	7	-1	17.2	17.4	-0.18	14.8	16.6	-1.78
Stacey Augmon	29	29	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.10	-3	16	-19	17.5	17.1	0.42	15.5	14.7	0.78
Kenny Anderson	32	30	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.09	-3	16	-19	18.2	16.7	1.58	14.1	15.4	-1.23
Jamaal Magloire	40	42	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	0.04	-10	23	-33	16.8	17.6	-0.84	15.0	14.9	0.13

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Johnson	2	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-13	13	8.0	15.1	-7.11	25.0	17.1	7.85
Kerry Kittles	39	39	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-8	3	16.1	14.1	2.07	15.3	18.8	-3.52
Rodney Rogers	23	22	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.06	-6	-7	1	14.1	15.2	-1.11	19.5	16.5	2.95
Jason Collins	39	40	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-9	5	15.5	14.5	0.98	17.4	17.1	0.34
Aaron Williams	40	39	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-10	7	14.8	15.1	-0.28	16.5	17.8	-1.38
Jason Kidd	83	83	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.14	-9	-4	-5	15.0	14.7	0.26	17.3	16.5	0.79
Kenyon Martin	85	84	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.14	-9	-4	-5	14.8	17.4	-2.59	17.4	14.8	2.58
Lucious Harris	56	55	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.13	-12	-1	-11	14.4	15.9	-1.58	18.4	15.3	3.09
Richard Jefferson	83	82	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.09	-17	4	-21	15.1	12.7	2.43	16.8	22.7	-5.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.39,0.37,0.24,0.25,0.36,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 106, DEN 96	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	92.9%
ORL 106, MIN 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.33,0.41,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.57,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	92.7%
CLE 97, MIA 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.35,0.29,0.35,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.38,0.42,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.02,0	92.5%