NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	93		Excitement	5.6 [673]		MVP	Oliver Miller (TOR): +9.6%
Toronto Raptors	101		Comeback	4.1 [477]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (TOR): -7.7%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Scott	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	10	58%	0.10	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Khalid Reeves	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	12	54%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	19	45%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
A.C. Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	4	60%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Hubert Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	13	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Erick Strickland	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	15	37%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.01
Chris Anstey	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	5	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Oliver Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.02	-0.03	10	65%	0.10	1	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.04	-0.06	15	45%	0.11	1	-0.04	3	67%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.13,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.06	-0.03	18	47%	0.07	0	0.00	9	78%	0.03
Chris Garner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Slater	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	53%	-0.00	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.05
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	9	55%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	10	59%	0.05	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	11	45%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	11	27%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.5	26.2	14.8	26.1	1.8	29.0	122.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +24.8%

DAL -2.4%

TOR +21.1%

TOR +1.2%

TOR +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	TOR	NBA	DAL	TOR	NBA
this game	15.4	17.5	15.6	106.9	114.8	102.5
season	15.8	15.5		98.3	98.7
opponent	14.8	15.5		108.2	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.4	17.6	18.5	13.1	15.4
TOR	17.9	16.0	19.4	16.9	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Scott	56	57	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.17	4	-12	16	13.9	18.2	-4.26	17.8	16.9	0.85
Shawn Bradley	65	67	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.31	4	-12	16	15.0	16.8	-1.83	18.9	12.8	6.16
Chris Anstey	16	15	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.04	-10	2	-12	18.0	14.9	3.13	14.5	18.1	-3.52
Khalid Reeves	62	62	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.18	-4	-4	0	15.7	14.7	1.02	17.7	16.8	0.92
Hubert Davis	74	75	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.27	-1	-7	6	15.1	17.2	-2.10	18.3	12.8	5.41
Erick Strickland	40	42	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.11	-10	2	-12	15.7	15.3	0.42	15.4	19.3	-3.92
Michael Finley	78	80	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.29	-6	-2	-4	15.7	13.3	2.36	17.2	19.7	-2.52
A.C. Green	44	42	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.03	-17	9	-26	16.6	14.3	2.36	16.4	18.4	-2.01

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Stoudamire	76	76	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.24	12	-4	16	17.1	20.0	-2.95	15.2	16.8	-1.57
Walt Williams	69	68	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.19	11	-3	14	17.6	17.1	0.45	15.1	16.6	-1.45
Doug Christie	77	76	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.14	9	-1	10	17.8	15.3	2.49	15.5	15.4	0.10
Reggie Slater	21	22	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.20	2	6	-4	17.7	17.4	0.34	17.2	14.9	2.32
Oliver Miller	50	50	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.20	1	7	-6	18.2	16.5	1.73	15.2	15.8	-0.63
Marcus Camby	73	71	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.24	-1	9	-10	18.0	15.0	2.96	14.6	19.2	-4.58
John Wallace	37	37	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.01	7	1	6	16.4	18.2	-1.81	16.1	14.9	1.20
Tracy McGrady	36	34	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	8	-8	16.2	18.3	-2.09	16.6	14.7	1.97
Chris Garner	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	9	-10	21.0	17.4	3.59	20.0	15.4	4.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.65,0.72,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 91, CHA 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.82,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.98,1	94.6%
DEN 98, ATL 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	93.7%
NOP 82, IND 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.28,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.3,0.24,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.28,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.69,0.76,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.5%