NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	98		Excitement	2.9 [1152]		MVP	Ike Austin (MIA): +5.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	84		Comeback	1.4 [860]		LVP	Jim Jackson (PHI): -11.0%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ike Austin	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.04	0.01	-0.09	10	50%	0.06	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Dan Majerle	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	7	79%	0.05	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	13	61%	0.05	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.02
P.J. Brown	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	64%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Hardaway	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	9	71%	0.03	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Rex Walters	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Duane Causwell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Murdock	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Jamal Mashburn	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	11	48%	0.00	3	-0.03	7	100%	0.02
Voshon Lenard	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	10	35%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	7	68%	0.02	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	71%	0.01	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	14	60%	0.05	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.12	0.00	-0.07	9	20%	-0.05	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	0.05	13	51%	-0.06	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.01
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	0.00	0.03	14	44%	-0.05	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.3	26.5	15.4	26.0	1.7	25.3	122.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +36.0%

PHI -2.3%

MIA +12.8%

MIA +4.2%

PHI -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	PHI	NBA	MIA	PHI	NBA
this game	17.4	15.7	15.6	111.4	97.7	102.5
season	15.8	15.4		104.7	99.7
opponent	15.5	16.2		102.1	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	17.5	16.8	18.2	17.0	17.4
PHI	13.0	17.5	15.2	17.2	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Mashburn	67	65	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.07	12	2	10	18.0	15.5	2.52	16.1	14.3	1.79
Alonzo Mourning	60	59	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.00	14	0	14	18.2	15.7	2.42	16.8	13.3	3.48
Ike Austin	46	47	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.14	18	-4	22	17.2	17.6	-0.33	17.1	14.0	3.13
Dan Majerle	41	42	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.13	17	-3	20	17.6	17.2	0.40	17.4	14.1	3.31
Tim Hardaway	68	64	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	9	-4	17.3	17.7	-0.46	14.6	18.9	-4.33
Eric Murdock	41	40	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.08	6	8	-2	17.1	17.6	-0.47	16.7	14.8	1.90
P.J. Brown	58	56	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	10	-6	16.8	18.6	-1.77	14.2	18.5	-4.32
Voshon Lenard	41	41	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	11	-8	17.5	17.3	0.17	14.4	16.8	-2.43
Rex Walters	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	17	-20	12.5	17.8	-5.26	11.8	16.0	-4.14
Duane Causwell	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	17	-20	19.0	17.3	1.74	11.8	16.0	-4.14
Charles Smith	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	17	-20	13.2	17.7	-4.45	11.2	15.9	-4.65

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Parker	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-17	20	11.8	16.0	-4.14	12.5	17.8	-5.26
Terry Cummings	13	12	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-12	10	17.3	15.4	1.91	14.2	17.9	-3.64
Scott Williams	15	16	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-12	10	13.3	16.2	-2.85	14.0	18.2	-4.15
Eric Snow	19	21	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.14	2	-16	18	15.4	15.8	-0.41	15.8	17.9	-2.09
Aaron McKie	28	27	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.02	-7	-7	0	16.6	15.2	1.37	15.6	18.2	-2.60
Tim Thomas	57	56	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.10	-5	-9	4	16.4	14.3	2.08	16.5	19.0	-2.57
Jim Jackson	60	62	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-8	2	16.0	15.0	0.93	18.3	15.3	3.02
Theo Ratliff	30	35	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.07	-12	-2	-10	13.6	16.8	-3.15	20.3	15.5	4.89
Clar. Weatherspoon	62	63	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.12	-8	-6	-2	16.1	14.7	1.36	18.5	14.5	4.02
Allen Iverson	72	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.00	-14	0	-14	15.7	15.6	0.05	17.7	16.2	1.48
Derrick Coleman	68	70	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.05	-19	5	-24	15.7	15.8	-0.12	17.5	17.1	0.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 105, CHH 89	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
OKC 110, MIL 91	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
TOR 101, IND 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%