NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	105		Excitement	3.4 [1079]		MVP	Sam Cassell (MIL): +14.4%
Charlotte Hornets	89		Comeback	1.2 [563]		LVP	Baron Davis (CHH): -7.2%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.01	0.00	20	69%	0.16	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tim Thomas	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.01	-0.06	13	62%	0.11	3	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01
Rafer Alston	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.00	-0.04	6	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	5	86%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Mark Pope	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	19	51%	0.05	4	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Ervin Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	8	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	6	36%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryce Drew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	19	51%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Matt Bullard	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	14	52%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	3	50%	-0.03	2	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	-0.00	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.12	0.00	-0.07	6	19%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Lee Nailon	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	0.05	22	51%	-0.02	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.02	7	14%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	11	27%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.8	25.6	15.0	23.2	1.7	25.3	114.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +47.4%

CHH -1.0%

MIL +7.9%

CHH -5.3%

MIL +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CHH	NBA	MIL	CHH	NBA
this game	15.3	15.0	15.6	110.5	93.7	102.3
season	15.3	15.9		104.7	102.2
opponent	15.6	16.0		101.1	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.3	13.2	16.1	19.7	15.3
CHH	12.9	16.8	15.9	14.6	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darvin Ham	54	52	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.11	17	-1	18	15.6	14.9	0.68	14.8	15.2	-0.42
Anthony Mason	83	83	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.12	8	8	0	15.8	11.9	3.89	14.6	17.6	-2.96
Tim Thomas	50	49	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.11	8	8	0	15.7	14.9	0.85	15.3	14.6	0.72
Glenn Robinson	73	73	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.09	7	9	-2	14.7	17.5	-2.84	15.1	14.5	0.59
Rafer Alston	27	26	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	5	6	16.4	14.9	1.53	16.9	14.3	2.65
Joel Przybilla	46	47	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.06	10	6	4	13.7	16.8	-3.10	15.4	14.6	0.80
Ervin Johnson	11	11	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.11	11	5	6	13.7	15.5	-1.80	17.9	14.6	3.29
Sam Cassell	68	69	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	11	-6	14.9	16.4	-1.53	14.3	16.9	-2.65
Michael Redd	61	63	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.09	3	13	-10	16.2	13.8	2.37	14.6	15.8	-1.27
Mark Pope	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	20.5	15.2	5.30	10.0	15.1	-5.11

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Bullard	8	7	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.09	-9	-7	-2	22.1	14.3	7.78	13.4	15.5	-2.04
Bryce Drew	30	28	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-12	8	17.0	14.1	2.92	17.2	14.5	2.74
Jamaal Magloire	38	37	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	-10	4	13.2	16.2	-2.94	16.4	14.6	1.83
Robert Traylor	26	25	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.02	-8	-8	0	16.0	14.6	1.32	17.8	14.4	3.32
Stacey Augmon	39	38	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.03	-9	-7	-2	15.2	14.9	0.35	17.6	13.8	3.82
P.J. Brown	69	70	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	-8	0	14.6	16.0	-1.32	14.4	17.8	-3.32
Baron Davis	51	53	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.00	-10	-6	-4	14.3	15.9	-1.61	13.4	17.8	-4.43
Lee Nailon	77	78	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.09	-7	-9	2	14.8	15.9	-1.10	15.4	15.1	0.31
David Wesley	80	81	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-9	-7	-2	14.1	19.7	-5.62	15.0	17.4	-2.39
Elden Campbell	57	58	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.02	-10	-6	-4	16.2	13.2	2.94	14.6	16.4	-1.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 98, PHI 84	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
ATL 107, GSW 85	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
NOP 116, MIN 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.47,0.36,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%