NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	110		Excitement	2.4 [1254]		MVP	Steven Adams (OKC): +8.3%
Milwaukee Bucks	91		Comeback	1.3 [773]		LVP	Matthew Dellavedova (MIL): -9.6%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Adams	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.03	0.02	10	70%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.02	14	52%	0.07	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Patrick Patterson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	2	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.05	9	68%	0.05	2	-0.02	7	100%	0.01
Raymond Felton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	64%	0.02	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	12	44%	0.04	4	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Dakari Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrance Ferguson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Huestis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	17	59%	0.02	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	7	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Alex Abrines	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	75%	-0.01	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.14	0.02	0.11	14	76%	0.10	4	-0.06	9	89%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	9	44%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sterling Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Liggins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	120%	0.00	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
D.J. Wilson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thon Maker	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	9	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Rashad Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.05	9	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	2	12%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.14	0.00	-0.06	13	31%	-0.05	3	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	0.00	0.09	3	87%	-0.04	3	-0.06	2	100%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.0	28.5	14.8	27.4	2.5	26.2	128.5
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +32.1%

OKC +3.5%

OKC +11.9%

OKC +7.0%

MIL -4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	MIL	NBA	OKC	MIL	NBA
this game	14.6	15.7	14.7	114.6	96.8	107.5
season	14.2	14.3		109.4	108.5
opponent	15.4	15.3		108.9	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.1	15.8	14.3	14.4	14.6
MIL	13.5	16.2	15.7	17.5	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	59	57	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.10	16	3	13	15.2	13.8	1.45	15.5	16.0	-0.48
Alex Abrines	54	55	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	8	3	14.5	14.8	-0.29	15.3	16.2	-0.81
Patrick Patterson	46	46	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.13	15	4	11	14.1	15.1	-1.03	16.4	15.0	1.39
Steven Adams	56	53	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.02	11	8	3	15.1	14.1	0.98	14.9	16.7	-1.82
Russell Westbrook	56	53	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.02	11	8	3	15.1	14.1	0.98	14.9	16.7	-1.82
Carmelo Anthony	55	55	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.14	14	5	9	14.9	14.3	0.53	16.7	14.3	2.39
Jerami Grant	55	55	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.07	6	13	-7	14.4	15.0	-0.53	15.3	16.3	-0.98
Raymond Felton	35	36	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.16	12	7	5	14.5	14.7	-0.25	16.7	15.1	1.60
Andre Roberson	42	39	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.07	8	11	-3	14.8	14.5	0.29	16.2	15.3	0.81
Josh Huestis	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	23	-27	12.5	15.0	-2.53	14.5	15.9	-1.35
Dakari Johnson	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	20	-21	14.0	14.7	-0.67	16.2	15.7	0.59
Terrance Ferguson	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	23	-27	11.2	14.8	-3.64	17.0	15.6	1.39

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre Liggins	13	14	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-25	31	15.4	15.7	-0.34	13.2	14.9	-1.68
Sterling Brown	18	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-28	37	17.8	15.2	2.66	15.1	14.6	0.50
Malcolm Brogdon	39	41	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.07	-7	-12	5	15.2	16.1	-0.90	15.3	14.1	1.21
D.J. Wilson	24	25	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-17	15	15.4	15.8	-0.35	13.8	14.9	-1.09
Rashad Vaughn	35	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.21	1	-20	21	15.5	15.8	-0.27	14.7	14.6	0.03
Mirza Teletovic	39	41	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-14	9	15.8	15.6	0.15	14.4	14.8	-0.40
Thon Maker	37	38	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.11	-11	-8	-3	16.3	15.3	1.06	15.1	14.4	0.67
Giannis Antetokounmpo	56	58	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.25	-17	-2	-15	15.2	16.3	-1.07	14.4	15.0	-0.59
John Henson	44	44	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.12	-14	-5	-9	15.2	16.1	-0.85	14.7	14.6	0.19
Tony Snell	59	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.27	-20	1	-21	15.8	15.5	0.27	14.6	14.7	-0.03
Matthew Dellavedova	42	41	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.16	-18	-1	-17	16.3	15.2	1.05	14.4	14.8	-0.36
Khris Middleton	64	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.10	-17	-2	-15	15.4	16.2	-0.76	14.9	14.2	0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 107, PHI 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%
BOS 109, DET 89	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
DET 92, NOK 68	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%