NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	106		Excitement	6.5 [475]		MVP	Rex Chapman (PHX): +28.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	97		Comeback	3.3 [423]		LVP	Derrick Coleman (PHI): -8.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rex Chapman	0.29	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.14,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.19	0.10	0.01	19	74%	0.31	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Steve Nash	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	14	57%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.02	17	59%	0.07	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Danny Manning	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	9	60%	0.08	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Clifford Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	0.05	-0.01	9	54%	0.09	3	-0.09	6	50%	-0.03
Hot Rod Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.07	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim Jackson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.01	0.03	16	69%	0.15	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.04	-0.04	20	65%	0.26	7	-0.19	6	83%	0.02
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.07	-0.00	8	50%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	8	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	9	55%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	6	36%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.2	2.4	26.2	14.8	22.5	1.6	30.2	117.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +31.9%

PHX +7.1%

PHI -0.8%

PHX +12.0%

PHI -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	PHI	NBA	PHX	PHI	NBA
this game	15.4	17.1	15.6	120.5	109.0	102.5
season	15.0	15.4		105.3	99.7
opponent	15.5	15.9		102.1	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	17.9	15.3	13.2	15.3	15.4
PHI	16.4	16.7	18.1	17.4	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hot Rod Williams	20	19	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.31	12	-3	15	15.8	15.3	0.54	19.4	16.5	2.89
Kevin Johnson	37	38	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.18	16	-7	23	12.7	17.4	-4.68	18.0	16.5	1.49
Danny Manning	39	41	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.26	10	-1	11	14.6	16.0	-1.38	17.3	17.0	0.36
Antonio McDyess	75	76	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.15	8	1	7	15.7	13.5	2.17	16.4	21.3	-4.87
Steve Nash	48	50	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.24	2	7	-5	14.7	16.2	-1.58	18.1	15.9	2.27
Mark Bryant	42	41	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	7	-5	15.9	14.9	0.95	16.8	17.5	-0.68
Jason Kidd	54	53	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	9	-9	15.9	14.6	1.20	16.4	18.3	-1.90
Clifford Robinson	66	66	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	10	-11	15.7	14.5	1.18	17.4	16.3	1.14
Rex Chapman	59	61	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.01	-4	13	-17	16.5	13.1	3.46	16.4	18.7	-2.24

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Coleman	55	55	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.02	-1	-8	7	16.3	18.5	-2.19	15.8	14.7	1.10
Allen Iverson	73	72	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.06	-1	-8	7	16.7	19.2	-2.57	16.0	12.5	3.53
Tim Thomas	34	32	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.07	-5	-4	-1	17.4	17.0	0.38	14.7	15.8	-1.05
Eric Snow	22	20	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.09	-5	-4	-1	16.7	17.3	-0.62	11.2	16.6	-5.42
Aaron McKie	28	27	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.21	-1	-8	7	19.2	16.2	2.97	15.0	15.6	-0.56
Jim Jackson	66	67	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.13	-4	-5	1	16.5	19.1	-2.68	16.0	13.3	2.70
Clar. Weatherspoon	66	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-7	-2	-5	17.5	16.0	1.55	15.8	14.1	1.67
Scott Williams	34	36	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.22	-4	-5	1	17.2	17.1	0.14	15.1	15.6	-0.47
Theo Ratliff	67	65	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.26	-17	8	-25	17.8	15.3	2.49	15.2	16.0	-0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.5,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.67,0.75,0.69,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.52,0.66,0.58,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.21,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 101, SAS 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.43,0.41,0.32,0.26,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.06,0,0	92.8%
PHX 120, NOH 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.54,0.59,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	92.0%
ATL 107, TOR 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.58,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.68,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.19,0.08,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	91.8%