inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Hornets 97 Excitement8.9 [118] MVPDavid Wesley (CHH): +35.5%
Boston Celtics 95 Comeback1.8 [334] LVPChauncey Billups (BOS): -18.8%


Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
David Wesley0.350,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.350.060.29-0.011670%0.514-0.15875%-0.00
Matt Geiger0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,0.1-0.020.130.011058%0.253-0.154100%0.02
Anthony Mason-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.020.02-0.040.011167%0.042-0.061471%-0.06
Travis Williams-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Donald Royal-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.020.00150%-0.011-0.032100%0.01
Corey Beck-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.01-0.00275%0.054-0.104100%0.03
J.R. Reid-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.010.00225%-0.0600.00450%-0.02
Glen Rice-0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.10-0.01-0.021541%-0.033-0.06475%-0.00
Bobby Phills-0.120,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.07-0.05-0.00644%-0.072-0.04475%-0.00

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dana Barros0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.020.07-0.02859%0.151-0.0410%-0.01
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.030.012125%0.0700.0000%0.00
Andrew DeClercq0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,0.06,0.060.060.020.050.01654%0.0600.001100%0.00
Antoine Walker0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.030.030.06-0.000.032562%0.464-0.4211100%0.08
Greg Minor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Dee Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Travis Knight0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
John Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.020.00425%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Ron Mercer0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.06-0.06-0.011844%-0.071-0.04580%0.03
Walter McCarty0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.07-0.060.01737%-0.072-0.07250%-0.01
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.15-0.04-0.01928%-0.055-0.1400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.21.728.315.429.31.834.2131.9
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHH +22.8%
CHH +5.7%
CHH +2.0%
CHH +17.1%
CHH +2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHHBOSNBACHHBOSNBA
this game16.015.515.6106.6103.3102.5
season15.715.1104.0100.2
opponent15.115.9103.0102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHH16.516.314.017.316.0
BOS16.316.416.612.715.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Anthony Mason80820.52-0.020.530.433-1416.115.11.0615.713.71.97
David Wesley75760.460.040.430.383-1415.220.0-4.8315.714.21.54
Bobby Phills60610.440.060.380.4402-215.217.6-2.3615.415.6-0.28
J.R. Reid38390.400.100.300.1110-81815.816.2-0.4415.615.40.19
Glen Rice76760.370.130.250.46-35-816.016.1-0.0515.913.22.67
Matt Geiger62610.200.30-0.100.37-68-1416.515.11.4014.816.7-1.89
Donald Royal28280.110.39-0.28-0.014-2616.515.80.7415.315.5-0.19
Travis Williams12130.000.50-0.50-0.0311017.915.72.1815.515.50.01
Corey Beck2424-0.000.50-0.500.06-24-618.015.32.6914.215.9-1.63

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Greg Minor870.08-0.580.670.061-3414.615.5-0.9116.616.00.60
Travis Knight1313-0.10-0.400.300.02-42-613.115.8-2.7718.215.72.58
John Thomas2826-0.13-0.370.23-0.07-20-215.815.30.5216.615.80.83
Dana Barros3635-0.17-0.330.17-0.377-91614.116.3-2.2619.214.05.21
Walter McCarty5657-0.21-0.290.08-0.241-3416.613.72.8015.317.3-1.98
Dee Brown1111-0.24-0.260.010.08-119-2013.515.7-2.2716.316.00.29
Bruce Bowen3634-0.25-0.250.01-0.22-1-1015.415.5-0.0716.915.51.37
Andrew DeClercq4949-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.322-4615.115.9-0.8015.416.7-1.24
Ron Mercer8283-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.515-71215.614.31.3015.718.9-3.13
Antoine Walker8989-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.514-61015.515.00.4716.28.57.69
Chauncey Billups5251-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.12-1210-2216.314.31.9613.818.9-5.09


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.53,0.48,0.54,0.42,0.39,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.32,0.35,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.21,0.33,0.37,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.07,0.28,0.33,0.58,0
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 95, ORL 940.5,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.24,0.3,0.37,0.25,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.31,0.46,0.33,0.42,091.2%
BOS 88, TOR 830.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.17,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.29,0.28,0.14,0.22,0.16,0.42,091.1%
MIN 105, OKC 1030.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.67,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.1,0.58,090.9%