NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	88		Excitement	8.2 [192]		MVP	Walter McCarty (BOS): +31.1%
Toronto Raptors	83		Comeback	1.7 [329]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (TOR): -30.5%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walter McCarty	0.31	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.31	0.02	0.29	0.00	10	60%	0.36	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	57%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Greg Minor	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Ron Mercer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	10	60%	0.09	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Pervis Ellison	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Andrew DeClercq	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	62%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Chauncey Billups	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.17,-0.04,-0.14,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	8	67%	0.14	6	-0.25	11	91%	0.05
Tyus Edney	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	2	25%	-0.08	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
John Thomas	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	0.00	5	25%	-0.08	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Antoine Walker	-0.22	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.22,-0.28,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.14	-0.06	0.01	22	37%	-0.10	3	-0.12	4	50%	-0.04

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	11	65%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	0.05
Shawn Respert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	5	71%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Chris Garner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Zan Tabak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	10	20%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Reggie Slater	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.19,-0.25,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	-0.00	12	50%	0.01	5	-0.18	6	83%	0.03
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2	-0.20	-0.10	-0.11	-0.00	5	56%	-0.05	4	-0.16	8	50%	-0.07
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.28,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.21	-0.09	0.00	13	26%	-0.17	4	-0.13	5	80%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.4	23.6	15.4	33.3	2.0	46.3	145.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +66.8%

TOR -14.2%

TOR -1.6%

TOR -2.0%

BOS +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	TOR	NBA	BOS	TOR	NBA
this game	14.1	16.7	15.6	92.6	90.2	102.5
season	15.1	15.5		100.2	98.7
opponent	14.8	15.1		108.2	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.6	14.7	13.5	15.0	14.1
TOR	17.9	19.6	14.8	15.0	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walter McCarty	81	77	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.26	11	-6	17	14.0	15.2	-1.25	16.3	18.8	-2.51
Ron Mercer	37	38	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.19	13	-8	21	14.1	14.2	-0.15	18.1	15.7	2.31
Antoine Walker	84	82	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.40	5	0	5	14.4	12.4	2.02	16.2	20.7	-4.49
Chauncey Billups	50	48	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.33	4	1	3	14.1	14.2	-0.14	15.4	18.2	-2.80
Pervis Ellison	41	39	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.09	5	0	5	14.0	14.3	-0.35	15.6	17.5	-1.88
Andrew DeClercq	24	24	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.11	4	1	3	13.2	14.5	-1.31	20.7	15.3	5.49
Dana Barros	31	30	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	2	1	13.2	14.6	-1.46	17.0	16.5	0.45
Greg Minor	28	26	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.03	1	4	-3	13.9	14.3	-0.36	17.2	16.5	0.75
John Thomas	27	26	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.18	-6	11	-17	16.8	13.1	3.67	15.9	17.0	-1.08
Tyus Edney	24	23	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	6	-7	13.4	14.4	-0.98	17.8	16.3	1.45
Bruce Bowen	48	47	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.17	-14	19	-33	14.5	13.8	0.75	16.7	16.7	0.06

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Slater	42	41	0.16	-0.66	0.81	-0.20	12	-17	29	17.2	16.3	0.95	14.2	14.1	0.04
Chris Garner	6	7	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.07	-3	-2	-1	22.7	16.3	6.39	10.6	14.4	-3.86
Shawn Respert	24	23	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-7	9	15.1	17.2	-2.13	13.7	14.3	-0.60
John Wallace	17	17	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	0	-5	16.5	16.7	-0.20	14.1	14.2	-0.04
Tracy McGrady	46	46	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.32	6	-11	17	18.1	15.3	2.87	15.3	13.0	2.33
Zan Tabak	17	18	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	1	-7	21.5	15.6	5.86	13.1	14.4	-1.28
Doug Christie	58	61	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.37	5	-10	15	15.8	18.2	-2.40	14.6	13.4	1.15
Walt Williams	49	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.03	-13	8	-21	16.9	16.5	0.43	13.7	14.7	-0.96
Oliver Miller	53	55	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.33	-2	-3	1	14.7	19.4	-4.62	14.2	14.1	0.13
Damon Stoudamire	82	86	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.35	-6	1	-7	16.3	19.6	-3.26	13.9	16.7	-2.78
Marcus Camby	66	69	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.22	-15	10	-25	16.8	16.3	0.54	14.4	13.5	0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.17,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.29,0.28,0.14,0.22,0.16,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 86, LAC 83	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.13,0.18,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.42,0	92.5%
OKC 89, BOS 84	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.26,0	92.3%
SAC 99, MEM 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.37,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.25,0.37,0.44,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.24,0.36,0.23,0.26,0	91.8%