NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	86		Excitement	7.1 [397]		MVP	Roger Mason Jr. (SAS): +25.1%
Los Angeles Clippers	83		Comeback	1.6 [478]		LVP	Baron Davis (LAC): -21.0%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roger Mason Jr.	0.25	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.25	0.09	0.18	0.02	16	66%	0.31	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.04	0.01	14	67%	0.16	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Matt Bonner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	7	50%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Blake Ahearn	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ime Udoka	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,-0.03	0.05	-0.09	-0.01	15	59%	0.18	2	-0.22	2	100%	0.01
Fabricio Oberto	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	-0.00	9	22%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	5	17%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.22,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	18	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.02	0.02	13	63%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	6	47%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mike Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	4	62%	0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.00	7	14%	-0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.06	0.02	10	41%	-0.06	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21	-0.21	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	17	31%	-0.20	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.7	28.2	15.7	23.3	2.7	33.3	127.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +62.9%

LAC -0.1%

SAS +11.7%

LAC -24.4%

LAC -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	LAC	NBA	SAS	LAC	NBA
this game	16.7	15.1	15.5	94.5	92.2	106.4
season	16.4	15.7		106.6	100.7
opponent	15.1	15.7		109.8	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	17.1	17.8	15.5	16.2	16.7
LAC	14.9	13.3	15.1	17.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruce Bowen	48	48	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.35	12	-9	21	16.3	17.1	-0.87	14.1	16.4	-2.29
Tim Duncan	74	73	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.49	3	0	3	17.1	14.9	2.21	15.8	12.2	3.57
Ime Udoka	29	29	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.09	8	-5	13	15.6	17.2	-1.61	15.7	14.9	0.82
Michael Finley	59	60	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.43	-6	9	-15	15.8	18.3	-2.52	15.5	14.4	1.05
Kurt Thomas	27	27	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.04	7	-4	11	17.2	16.5	0.77	16.1	14.7	1.45
Roger Mason Jr.	66	65	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.30	-3	6	-9	17.0	15.8	1.22	14.9	15.8	-0.98
George Hill	37	37	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.08	3	0	3	17.0	16.5	0.49	16.8	14.0	2.80
Matt Bonner	33	32	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.22	-3	6	-9	18.6	15.6	3.07	14.2	15.7	-1.52
Jacque Vaughn	45	43	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.08	-1	4	-5	16.2	17.2	-1.04	15.0	15.2	-0.21
Blake Ahearn	9	9	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	5	-7	18.1	16.5	1.59	9.7	15.7	-6.07
Fabricio Oberto	28	27	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.03	-3	6	-9	15.7	17.1	-1.45	14.4	15.5	-1.09

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Skinner	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-3	3	11.2	15.8	-4.56	16.9	16.6	0.28
Tim Thomas	24	25	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-6	9	13.9	15.6	-1.72	15.8	17.0	-1.16
Eric Gordon	29	30	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-4	5	12.6	16.3	-3.76	15.1	17.5	-2.41
Mike Taylor	26	26	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	2	-7	12.5	16.2	-3.70	14.7	17.5	-2.84
Chris Kaman	69	71	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.09	-3	0	-3	15.7	13.1	2.60	17.0	15.4	1.64
Cuttino Mobley	66	66	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.31	2	-5	7	15.7	13.6	2.06	16.9	16.1	0.77
Marcus Camby	59	60	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.36	2	-5	7	16.6	12.3	4.29	17.4	15.2	2.21
Al Thornton	66	66	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.17	-7	4	-11	15.1	15.2	-0.05	16.7	16.6	0.06
Baron Davis	64	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.45	2	-5	7	16.2	12.5	3.70	17.5	14.7	2.84
Ricky Davis	34	33	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.47	-10	7	-17	14.9	15.3	-0.45	16.1	17.0	-0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.13,0.18,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 89, BOS 84	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.26,0	92.7%
BOS 88, TOR 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.17,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.29,0.28,0.14,0.22,0.16,0.42,0	92.5%
SAS 76, CHH 71	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.28,0.32,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.35,0.27,0.19,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.18,0	92.5%