inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 86 Excitement7.2 [354] MVPJoe Dumars (DET): +16.4%
Detroit Pistons 91 Comeback2.5 [603] LVPGrant Hill (DET): -27.8%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bo Outlaw0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01-0.030.03-0.00644%0.0100.00425%-0.11
Dan Schayes-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Gerald Wilkins-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Derek Harper-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.00250%0.002-0.0500%0.00
Darrell Armstrong-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.03-0.00764%0.054-0.1000%0.00
Brian Evans-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.070.00-0.070.00550%-0.0700.002100%0.02
Nick Anderson-0.080,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.080.02-0.10-0.011954%-0.022-0.06333%-0.04
Rony Seikaly-0.080,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.030.00839%-0.061-0.02250%-0.00
Mark Price-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,-0.04,-0.11-0.03-0.08-0.00950%-0.052-0.062100%0.03
Derek Strong-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.08-0.04-0.00544%-0.042-0.08683%0.01
Horace Grant-0.120,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12-0.03-0.10-0.011453%-0.073-0.0620%-0.09

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joe Dumars0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.030.150.01562%0.1600.00367%-0.02
Grant Long0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.02-0.00-0.03850%0.0400.0000%0.00
Rick Mahorn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.00367%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jerry Stackhouse0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.030.011358%0.083-0.07560%-0.02
Eric Montross0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Don Reid0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Lindsey Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00952%0.001-0.02333%-0.04
Jerome Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.03-0.040.00564%0.073-0.14475%0.04
Malik Sealy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.09-0.030.00520%-0.052-0.0700%0.00
Grant Hill0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.27,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.28-0.28-0.15-0.110.011757%0.038-0.311765%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.92.425.215.726.62.442.4136.6
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +51.4%
DET +17.4%
ORL -1.9%
ORL -18.4%
DET +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLDETNBAORLDETNBA
this game15.316.315.693.5101.1102.5
season16.715.9100.3102.8
opponent15.915.6101.1101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL14.517.915.114.015.3
DET15.514.917.617.416.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rony Seikaly34340.09-0.590.68-0.117-121916.014.91.0515.616.7-1.09
Dan Schayes66-0.05-0.450.40-0.02-1-4318.215.13.0323.315.87.51
Brian Evans2422-0.10-0.400.30-0.286-111714.015.8-1.7517.416.01.44
Bo Outlaw5655-0.16-0.340.18-0.408-132114.616.4-1.8217.115.21.88
Mark Price3939-0.19-0.310.12-0.283-81115.515.20.3116.616.10.52
Gerald Wilkins1718-0.22-0.280.070.11-116-1717.414.92.5513.816.9-3.11
Derek Harper2020-0.26-0.24-0.030.06-116-1717.614.72.8915.816.5-0.61
Nick Anderson8178-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.413-81115.017.7-2.7116.316.5-0.21
Darrell Armstrong5654-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.10-83-1114.716.4-1.7315.617.4-1.73
Horace Grant7776-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.34-4-1-314.917.8-2.9415.918.8-2.92
Derek Strong5048-0.500.00-0.51-0.00-1712-2916.214.31.9817.015.51.50

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jerome Williams45460.65-0.150.800.2713-82115.816.9-1.1315.715.00.67
Rick Mahorn43420.55-0.050.610.1115-102516.116.5-0.4416.514.42.05
Joe Dumars58570.420.080.330.217-2915.517.9-2.4115.814.61.24
Grant Hill70710.410.090.330.3523-115.818.0-2.1615.315.4-0.06
Lindsey Hunter53540.410.090.330.3523-116.915.51.3714.616.4-1.85
Malik Sealy42460.400.100.300.0811-61715.417.1-1.6815.015.7-0.63
Don Reid11140.100.40-0.310.0132118.216.12.1215.215.4-0.14
Jerry Stackhouse5455-0.010.51-0.530.13-510-1517.115.12.0215.315.4-0.16
Eric Montross1818-0.170.67-0.840.09-914-2315.716.5-0.8214.515.5-1.04
Grant Long5657-0.260.76-1.020.15-1419-3317.614.13.5015.115.7-0.56


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.9,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.88,0.81,0.87,0.64,0.84,0.77,0.92,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 109, ORL 1160.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.48,0.46,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.68,0.77,0.89,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.94,0.95,0.9,0.85,0.84,0.96,192.5%
MIL 88, IND 890.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.66,0.81,0.72,0.84,0.84,192.0%
PHX 85, ATL 930.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.66,0.71,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.65,0.62,0.81,0.89,0.85,0.96,192.0%