NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	102		Excitement	8.1 [209]		MVP	Rik Smits (IND): +21.3%
Indiana Pacers	106		Comeback	7.5 [185]		LVP	Jalen Rose (IND): -12.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	17	50%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.07
Howard Eisley	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	3	87%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Greg Foster	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Carr	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	4	58%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Bryon Russell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	-0.01	5	64%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Greg Ostertag	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	0.05	-0.02	6	43%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Adam Keefe	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	38%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Shandon Anderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	80%	0.06	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Karl Malone	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.07	0.00	19	60%	0.02	3	-0.07	5	80%	-0.00
Jeff Hornacek	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	7	62%	0.00	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rik Smits	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.18,0.27,0.21	0.21	0.07	0.14	0.00	17	62%	0.23	1	-0.01	6	50%	0.04
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.04	0.01	17	65%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	6	75%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.00	8	67%	0.19	4	-0.18	5	80%	0.02
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	37%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.09	-0.09	0.02	-0.12	-0.00	12	64%	-0.03	2	-0.06	9	78%	-0.02
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	6	43%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	6	43%	-0.03	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.7	23.4	15.6	25.1	1.7	30.4	121.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +24.6%

UTA -6.4%

IND +46.9%

UTA -20.1%

IND +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	IND	NBA	UTA	IND	NBA
this game	16.4	14.7	15.6	110.9	114.0	102.5
season	15.9	16.0		108.1	105.3
opponent	16.1	15.9		99.2	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.3	13.0	18.3	17.7	16.4
IND	13.4	15.2	14.5	15.9	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shandon Anderson	32	32	0.33	-0.83	1.16	0.12	7	-11	18	14.8	17.2	-2.41	16.8	13.6	3.22
Antoine Carr	33	35	0.32	-0.82	1.14	0.14	6	-10	16	14.9	17.3	-2.39	15.9	14.1	1.81
Adam Keefe	41	42	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-1	-2	18.1	15.1	3.04	13.8	15.5	-1.64
Greg Foster	21	20	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-4	4	13.3	17.3	-3.99	16.7	14.2	2.51
John Stockton	72	72	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.37	4	-8	12	16.3	16.9	-0.62	14.9	14.2	0.64
Howard Eisley	20	21	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.02	-8	4	-12	16.9	16.3	0.62	14.2	14.9	-0.64
Greg Ostertag	63	63	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.31	0	-4	4	17.4	14.3	3.12	14.3	15.7	-1.43
Bryon Russell	51	51	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.36	-1	-3	2	15.1	18.1	-3.04	15.5	13.8	1.64
Jeff Hornacek	60	61	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.51	-11	7	-18	17.2	14.8	2.41	13.6	16.8	-3.22
Karl Malone	67	68	-0.90	0.40	-1.31	-0.49	-14	10	-24	17.2	14.3	2.93	14.0	16.7	-2.72

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Jackson	60	61	0.96	-0.46	1.41	0.49	16	-12	28	14.0	16.1	-2.06	17.1	15.1	2.03
Chris Mullin	68	66	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.52	8	-4	12	14.9	14.3	0.62	16.6	16.0	0.58
Antonio Davis	52	49	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.35	12	-8	20	15.5	13.8	1.66	16.0	16.9	-0.88
Reggie Miller	77	76	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.40	9	-5	14	14.1	17.8	-3.72	17.0	13.8	3.15
Rik Smits	59	61	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.39	-3	7	-10	14.6	14.9	-0.33	17.1	15.1	1.99
Dale Davis	43	44	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	3	-2	13.8	15.5	-1.66	17.2	15.7	1.56
Derrick McKey	32	30	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	6	-8	15.0	14.6	0.36	14.5	17.3	-2.79
Jalen Rose	41	42	-0.42	0.92	-1.35	-0.16	-9	13	-22	15.7	14.0	1.66	15.2	17.5	-2.29
Travis Best	33	31	-0.46	0.96	-1.41	-0.10	-12	16	-28	16.1	14.0	2.06	15.1	17.1	-2.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.28,0.33,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.32,0.28,0.41,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.4,0.53,0.55,0.78,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 107, MIL 116	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.31,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.37,0.44,0.58,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.22,0.24,0.4,0.45,0.79,0.84,0.98,1	91.2%
WAS 97, UTA 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.33,0.24,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.41,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.26,0.33,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.54,0.69,0.72,1	91.0%
TOR 109, HOU 112	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.19,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.47,0.64,0.67,0.99,1	90.9%