inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 107 Excitement7.9 [248] MVPToni Kukoc (MIL): +16.7%
Milwaukee Bucks 116 Comeback9.6 [235] LVPEtan Thomas (WAS): -8.5%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mitchell Butler0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.040.060.001150%0.1000.0000%0.00
Steve Blake0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.070.000.01692%0.142-0.0800%0.00
Jared Jeffries0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.020.01771%0.071-0.02367%-0.00
Kwame Brown-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02-0.050.03-0.01942%-0.0200.00862%0.01
Jerry Stackhouse-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.08,0.04,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.011647%0.021-0.04667%-0.02
Larry Hughes-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05-0.01-0.06-0.031356%-0.002-0.04875%-0.03
Juan Dixon-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.01642%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Gilbert Arenas-0.050,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.04-0.021046%-0.031-0.02475%0.01
Brendan Haywood-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.070.00-0.01330%-0.041-0.02475%0.00
Jarvis Hayes-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.00520%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Etan Thomas-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.06-0.01857%0.073-0.15580%-0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Toni Kukoc0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.170.170.060.110.001165%0.1700.0012100%0.08
Brevin Knight0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.15,0.150.150.050.10-0.00773%0.171-0.021100%0.00
Desmond Mason0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.080.020.011861%0.1000.00862%-0.08
Michael Redd0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.040.040.020.040.012855%0.113-0.068100%0.04
Erick Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.001100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Dan Gadzuric00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Daniel Santiago0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0000%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Damon Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.0030%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Brian Skinner0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.03-0.001062%0.095-0.17475%0.02
Joe Smith0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.01-0.00629%-0.051-0.032100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.71.726.515.528.42.437.5135.7
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +21.4%
MIL +13.2%
MIL +9.7%
MIL +9.7%
WAS -4.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASMILNBAWASMILNBA
this game15.114.315.7109.2118.4100.5
season15.215.396.4103.6
opponent15.515.3103.3102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS16.214.814.714.615.1
MIL17.314.013.013.614.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Steve Blake48470.15-0.650.800.092-111315.514.70.8413.515.0-1.51
Juan Dixon33330.12-0.620.740.004-131713.216.0-2.8513.914.5-0.57
Etan Thomas54530.10-0.600.700.013-121514.915.2-0.3213.415.4-1.96
Mitchell Butler880.10-0.600.700.042-111321.514.57.0017.114.13.06
Brendan Haywood33320.01-0.510.510.03-1-8716.714.32.4116.713.23.57
Jared Jeffries4244-0.03-0.470.440.12-5-4-116.414.12.2914.913.90.99
Kwame Brown6868-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.30-1-8715.614.01.5915.411.83.67
Jerry Stackhouse5755-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.27-6-3-314.116.5-2.3913.515.3-1.76
Gilbert Arenas5757-0.540.04-0.59-0.31-8-1-714.815.4-0.6314.813.71.09
Jarvis Hayes4042-0.800.30-1.10-0.30-178-2513.216.4-3.2012.215.9-3.64
Larry Hughes5051-0.830.33-1.15-0.30-189-2715.215.00.2214.314.30.04

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joe Smith49500.65-0.150.810.3311-21315.513.22.3116.813.33.45
Michael Redd85840.56-0.060.630.2112-31514.811.53.2915.313.61.75
Desmond Mason84850.56-0.060.620.2112-31513.618.5-4.8815.313.61.68
Toni Kukoc67670.460.040.420.2863313.216.8-3.6014.117.1-3.01
Brevin Knight55550.460.040.420.3445-114.314.4-0.1414.016.5-2.52
Damon Jones45450.050.45-0.41-0.1672514.014.6-0.5816.214.12.17
Brian Skinner73710.030.47-0.43-0.0845-114.115.1-1.0314.815.8-1.03
Dan Gadzuric670.010.49-0.48-0.0218-713.314.4-1.0517.714.92.85
Erick Strickland1010-0.070.57-0.630.02-312-1516.614.12.5413.015.3-2.31
Daniel Santiago1616-0.220.72-0.940.04-918-2718.113.64.5513.215.4-2.25


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.31,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.37,0.44,0.58,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.22,0.24,0.4,0.45,0.79,0.84,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 109, HOU 1120.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.19,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.47,0.64,0.67,0.99,192.3%
BOS 84, CHI 870.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.31,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.16,0.25,0.34,0.24,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.85,191.6%
UTA 102, IND 1060.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.28,0.33,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.32,0.28,0.41,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.4,0.53,0.55,0.78,0.85,191.2%