NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	85		Excitement	3.4 [1078]		MVP	Karl Malone (UTA): +7.5%
Utah Jazz	98		Comeback	1.0 [1257]		LVP	Brian Shaw (GSW): -11.6%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Todd Fuller	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	1	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Felton Spencer	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	3	56%	0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Adonal Foyle	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	80%	0.02	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Duane Ferrell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	11	47%	-0.04	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Tony Delk	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	11	54%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	15	41%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Bimbo Coles	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.02	12	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	18	44%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	8	25%	-0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	14	64%	0.08	0	0.00	14	79%	-0.00
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	62%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	4	50%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	9	39%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	10	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	10	57%	0.01	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	8	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	100%	0.06	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	9	40%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	1.8	24.6	14.7	25.7	1.0	24.2	120.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +34.4%

UTA +1.3%

UTA +11.3%

UTA +2.5%

UTA +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	UTA	NBA	GSW	UTA	NBA
this game	17.4	15.2	15.6	95.5	111.4	102.5
season	15.6	15.9		92.9	108.1
opponent	15.9	15.0		102.1	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	17.1	16.0	19.5	17.0	17.4
UTA	16.4	13.3	13.8	17.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Duane Ferrell	16	14	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.15	5	-18	23	16.9	17.5	-0.59	15.9	15.0	0.90
Todd Fuller	16	16	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-11	9	16.7	17.5	-0.74	14.4	15.3	-0.90
Felton Spencer	27	26	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-11	9	17.2	17.4	-0.25	15.3	15.1	0.25
Adonal Foyle	25	26	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.13	-12	-1	-11	16.4	17.7	-1.28	14.8	15.3	-0.51
Joe Smith	61	59	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.21	-2	-11	9	17.4	17.3	0.11	15.1	15.3	-0.16
Brian Shaw	55	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	-5	-8	3	18.2	16.1	2.10	15.4	14.8	0.66
Tony Delk	61	59	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.12	-7	-6	-1	16.1	20.1	-4.06	14.9	15.8	-0.88
Erick Dampier	62	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	-2	-9	17.4	17.2	0.25	15.1	15.3	-0.25
Donyell Marshall	60	61	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.06	-15	2	-17	18.0	16.0	1.97	15.4	14.7	0.73
Bimbo Coles	62	64	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.02	-14	1	-15	17.9	16.1	1.79	15.2	15.0	0.18

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Stockton	57	59	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.07	17	-4	21	15.0	15.5	-0.43	17.9	16.3	1.65
Jeff Hornacek	43	43	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.13	15	-2	17	15.1	15.2	-0.06	18.3	16.4	1.91
Adam Keefe	35	34	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.10	13	0	13	15.3	15.1	0.24	18.5	16.7	1.85
Karl Malone	47	47	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.11	13	0	13	14.8	15.6	-0.82	18.1	16.6	1.49
Greg Ostertag	28	27	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.17	14	-1	15	15.7	14.9	0.80	20.4	16.0	4.32
Antoine Carr	41	42	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.23	0	13	-13	15.6	14.8	0.82	16.6	18.1	-1.49
Bryon Russell	39	41	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.05	6	7	-1	14.6	15.7	-1.09	16.2	18.3	-2.11
Chris Morris	33	34	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.17	1	12	-11	14.9	15.3	-0.47	16.9	17.7	-0.82
Shandon Anderson	45	46	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.25	-2	15	-17	15.2	15.1	0.06	16.4	18.3	-1.91
Howard Eisley	26	26	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	15	-17	15.6	15.0	0.63	17.1	17.5	-0.40
Greg Foster	41	42	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.30	-8	21	-29	15.5	14.9	0.59	16.0	18.6	-2.53
Jacque Vaughn	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	14.6	15.2	-0.60	11.0	17.7	-6.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.84,0.85,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 100, CLE 120	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
WAS 78, GSW 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.87,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
SEA 82, MIN 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%