NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	100		Excitement	3.2 [1180]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): +10.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	120		Comeback	1.2 [1268]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (SAC): -15.5%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	-0.00	-0.03	12	67%	0.11	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.02	5	73%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Marco Belinelli	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	8	47%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Seth Curry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
James Anderson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	3	67%	0.02	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.03	9	65%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	14	41%	-0.01	2	-0.01	6	67%	-0.00
Darren Collison	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	0.00	0.08	7	61%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Omri Casspi	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.05	0.00	0.10	12	57%	-0.05	1	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.19	-0.00	-0.04	8	29%	-0.06	6	-0.10	8	50%	-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.21	0.02	0.13	21	74%	0.12	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.00	0.03	18	61%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	16	57%	0.09	4	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	7	40%	0.03	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Sasha Kaun	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jared Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	1	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	0.00	0.08	6	83%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	10	42%	-0.01	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.5	27.4	14.6	23.3	2.4	32.6	127.4
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +25.8%

CLE +5.9%

CLE +12.3%

CLE +7.0%

SAC -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	CLE	NBA	SAC	CLE	NBA
this game	12.4	15.2	14.9	96.2	114.3	105.1
season	13.9	15.8		104.8	110.3
opponent	14.9	14.6		103.7	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.7	14.3	12.9	9.7	12.4
CLE	14.0	13.9	15.9	16.9	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Seth Curry	10	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-18	16	9.1	12.7	-3.61	17.6	14.9	2.67
Quincy Acy	10	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-18	16	9.1	12.7	-3.61	17.6	14.9	2.67
James Anderson	38	38	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-18	16	11.1	13.1	-1.99	15.2	15.2	0.01
Kosta Koufos	41	41	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-20	20	13.5	11.6	1.93	14.1	15.8	-1.70
Darren Collison	47	46	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.00	-5	-15	10	12.5	12.2	0.30	14.9	15.4	-0.55
Omri Casspi	64	64	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.01	-8	-12	4	12.2	12.6	-0.34	14.9	15.6	-0.70
Rudy Gay	57	58	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	-8	-4	13.0	11.6	1.40	15.9	14.3	1.60
Willie Cauley-Stein	63	64	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.13	-17	-3	-14	12.3	12.4	-0.08	15.2	15.2	0.02
DeMarcus Cousins	63	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.12	-17	-3	-14	12.3	12.5	-0.24	15.7	14.4	1.25
Rajon Rondo	71	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.10	-17	-3	-14	12.2	12.6	-0.40	14.8	16.1	-1.25
Marco Belinelli	56	57	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.07	-18	-2	-16	13.2	11.4	1.80	14.8	15.6	-0.78

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	67	66	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.09	16	4	12	14.6	16.2	-1.53	13.1	11.2	1.90
J.R. Smith	66	65	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.30	23	-3	26	14.8	15.7	-0.90	13.2	11.0	2.14
Kevin Love	64	61	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.02	13	7	6	15.2	15.1	0.14	11.9	13.0	-1.04
Kyrie Irving	76	75	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.31	22	-2	24	15.8	13.6	2.20	12.3	12.7	-0.40
Iman Shumpert	55	56	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.02	7	13	-6	14.7	15.8	-1.11	11.9	13.0	-1.10
Timofey Mozgov	45	46	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.12	11	9	2	15.3	15.1	0.15	12.5	12.3	0.16
Tristan Thompson	45	45	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.04	8	12	-4	15.7	14.8	0.93	12.8	12.1	0.69
Mo Williams	35	35	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.20	-1	21	-22	14.8	15.4	-0.53	13.2	12.0	1.21
Anderson Varejao	18	19	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	15	-10	13.6	15.5	-1.96	14.1	12.0	2.06
Richard Jefferson	38	38	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.01	4	16	-12	16.2	14.6	1.53	11.2	13.1	-1.90
Sasha Kaun	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	24	-28	16.1	15.1	1.02	7.3	12.7	-5.45
Jared Cunningham	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	24	-28	16.1	15.1	1.02	7.3	12.7	-5.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 74, UTA 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
SEA 78, HOU 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
WAS 78, GSW 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.87,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%