NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	91		Excitement	8.2 [183]		MVP	Bo Outlaw (ORL): +7.4%
Orlando Magic	84		Comeback	2.1 [361]		LVP	Ervin Johnson (MIL): -24.9%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Hill	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.04	0.01	4	67%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.07
Ricky Pierce	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0.04	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04	-0.04	0.09	0.00	23	47%	0.12	2	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Ray Allen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.05	0.00	13	55%	0.08	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Michael Curry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Elliot Perry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	17	53%	0.05	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.04
Armen Gilliam	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.05	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Lang	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Ervin Johnson	-0.25	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.09	-0.15	0.01	8	33%	-0.15	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	8	68%	0.07	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.00
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	7	56%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Dan Schayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derek Harper	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	7	44%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	10	70%	0.17	8	-0.23	7	86%	0.03
Rony Seikaly	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	12	53%	0.04	4	-0.15	10	100%	0.09
Horace Grant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.05	-0.12	-0.00	9	40%	-0.13	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Gerald Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	9	22%	-0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.08	-0.15	-0.00	6	25%	-0.10	2	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	28.5	15.6	26.2	1.7	46.0	143.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +36.2%

ORL -4.9%

MIL +11.3%

MIL +12.9%

ORL -5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	ORL	NBA	MIL	ORL	NBA
this game	16.1	16.8	15.6	103.4	96.6	102.5
season	16.0	16.7		101.1	100.3
opponent	15.6	15.1		101.4	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.8	19.0	16.0	14.8	16.1
ORL	17.3	14.5	15.3	20.4	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Hill	60	61	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.15	10	-3	13	15.7	17.0	-1.35	16.7	17.0	-0.22
Glenn Robinson	69	70	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.32	4	3	1	16.9	13.4	3.43	16.7	17.1	-0.39
Ervin Johnson	53	54	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.26	5	2	3	16.4	15.6	0.81	17.4	15.8	1.64
Terrell Brandon	67	66	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.21	3	4	-1	15.9	16.9	-0.98	16.3	18.3	-1.95
Ray Allen	67	66	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.21	3	4	-1	15.9	16.9	-0.98	16.3	18.3	-1.95
Michael Curry	30	28	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.00	9	-2	11	15.1	16.6	-1.54	18.6	15.9	2.66
Elliot Perry	21	21	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.09	4	3	1	16.9	15.9	0.98	18.3	16.3	1.95
Armen Gilliam	35	34	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	3	1	16.3	16.0	0.29	16.5	17.0	-0.55
Ricky Pierce	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	7	-7	13.4	16.5	-3.12	14.8	17.1	-2.27
Andrew Lang	26	24	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.16	-7	14	-21	17.3	15.6	1.64	16.4	17.0	-0.59

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Schayes	22	24	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.02	-1	-6	5	17.2	16.7	0.50	15.4	16.4	-0.96
Bo Outlaw	64	63	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-7	7	15.6	20.2	-4.64	17.0	13.8	3.18
Vernon Maxwell	30	32	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.06	-6	-1	-5	16.9	16.8	0.09	14.7	16.9	-2.29
Gerald Wilkins	32	33	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.29	2	-9	11	18.5	15.8	2.73	17.3	15.4	1.90
Derek Harper	43	44	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.01	-8	1	-9	15.7	17.8	-2.10	15.0	17.2	-2.14
Rony Seikaly	68	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.30	-3	-4	1	16.7	17.3	-0.65	15.8	17.3	-1.53
Darrell Armstrong	75	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.22	-6	-1	-5	16.1	21.2	-5.16	16.2	15.9	0.22
Nick Anderson	30	30	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.29	-6	-1	-5	20.0	15.1	4.88	16.2	16.1	0.13
Horace Grant	71	71	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.30	-7	0	-7	17.2	15.2	1.98	16.5	14.3	2.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.59,0.4,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.23,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 98, ATL 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.28,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.43,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.57,0.37,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.21,0.16,0.02,0	92.5%
CHI 83, CLE 74	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.29,0.33,0.09,0	92.4%
MEM 89, LAL 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.35,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.62,0.56,0.43,0.53,0.32,0.7,0.54,0.4,0.61,0.37,0.15,0.37,0	92.1%