NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	89		Excitement	7.9 [279]		MVP	Zach Randolph (MEM): +40.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	86		Comeback	2.7 [522]		LVP	Jordan Farmar (LAL): -20.0%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0.40	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.4	0.15	0.28	0.03	18	67%	0.44	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Tony Allen	0.14	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.03	0.01	6	100%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.11	0.01	15	50%	0.17	1	-0.05	6	100%	0.04
Quincy Pondexter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.16	-0.03	-0.13	-0.01	9	33%	-0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.16	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	15	34%	-0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Mike Miller	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	8	25%	-0.11	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.06,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.17	0.07	0.00	16	76%	0.36	2	-0.13	1	0%	-0.01
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.11	-0.00	4	75%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.01	8	63%	0.12	1	-0.04	3	67%	0.02
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.02	0.01	14	55%	0.05	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.03
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.00	10	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Henry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.12	-0.12	-0.00	-0.11	0.01	9	50%	-0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	12	38%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.13	-0.08	-0.00	4	0%	-0.10	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.8	23.3	15.8	22.2	2.7	33.5	123.5
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL -6.2%

MEM +8.6%

MEM +36.0%

MEM +6.4%

MEM +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	LAL	NBA	MEM	LAL	NBA
this game	16.8	14.4	15.1	96.7	92.5	105.2
season	16.4	14.0		104.5	102.9
opponent	14.8	15.2		108.9	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.1	19.6	18.1	14.9	16.8
LAL	13.7	12.6	17.0	14.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Miller	49	51	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.45	5	-2	7	15.9	17.8	-1.87	14.5	14.2	0.25
Zach Randolph	68	68	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.30	8	-5	13	16.6	17.1	-0.48	14.4	14.2	0.19
Mike Conley	63	63	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.36	3	0	3	17.5	15.2	2.23	14.8	13.4	1.39
Marc Gasol	79	79	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.41	1	2	-1	17.5	12.2	5.29	14.4	14.5	-0.15
Tayshaun Prince	50	52	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.29	3	0	3	17.1	16.4	0.76	14.9	13.7	1.24
Quincy Pondexter	42	41	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.12	0	3	-3	16.4	17.1	-0.76	13.7	14.9	-1.24
Jerryd Bayless	29	30	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.05	0	3	-3	15.2	17.5	-2.23	13.4	14.8	-1.39
Kosta Koufos	37	39	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.07	-1	4	-5	15.4	17.7	-2.29	14.3	14.4	-0.07
Tony Allen	43	42	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.01	-4	7	-11	17.8	15.9	1.87	14.2	14.5	-0.25

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Xavier Henry	16	15	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-4	5	13.1	14.6	-1.51	15.2	17.1	-1.88
Jordan Farmar	31	29	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.04	1	-4	5	14.1	14.5	-0.37	16.1	17.1	-1.03
Shawne Williams	36	32	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-2	1	14.7	14.2	0.52	14.4	18.0	-3.58
Chris Kaman	30	30	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	3	-9	14.6	14.3	0.28	15.9	17.2	-1.34
Wesley Johnson	30	30	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.02	-7	4	-11	15.2	14.0	1.22	16.1	17.1	-1.05
Jodie Meeks	70	70	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.32	1	-4	5	14.4	14.2	0.27	17.5	14.6	2.87
Nick Young	64	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.49	6	-9	15	13.8	15.6	-1.76	16.9	16.5	0.42
Jordan Hill	55	56	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.35	-1	-2	1	14.5	14.1	0.41	18.6	14.0	4.55
Pau Gasol	64	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.40	0	-3	3	14.1	14.9	-0.81	17.0	16.2	0.78
Steve Blake	69	70	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.42	-9	6	-15	14.7	13.4	1.29	16.7	17.0	-0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.35,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.62,0.56,0.43,0.53,0.32,0.7,0.54,0.4,0.61,0.37,0.15,0.37,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 91, ORL 84	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.59,0.4,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.23,0.08,0	92.1%
LAC 102, WAS 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.36,0.42,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.65,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.36,0.53,0.33,0.61,0.31,0.23,0.58,0	91.6%
PHI 101, NYK 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.46,0.39,0.47,0.21,0.23,0.41,0	91.1%