NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	102		Excitement	9.9 [80]		MVP	Caron Butler (WAS): +34.7%
Washington Wizards	97		Comeback	2.5 [368]		LVP	Chris Kaman (LAC): -24.3%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0.32	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.32	0.03	0.28	-0.00	14	50%	0.32	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.17	0.12	0.01	18	77%	0.39	3	-0.12	4	75%	-0.00
Chris Wilcox	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	1	100%	0.12	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Corey Maggette	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0.08,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	14	59%	0.24	3	-0.17	6	83%	0.03
Daniel Ewing	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	83%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Zeljko Rebraca	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	60%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Sam Cassell	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.11	-0.09	0.00	11	27%	-0.14	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.24,-0.24	-0.11	-0.13	-0.00	8	22%	-0.08	2	-0.16	2	100%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.06	0.29	-0.00	10	63%	0.44	3	-0.09	10	90%	0.04
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.05	-0.00	10	64%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	12	59%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Donell Taylor	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	9	33%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.10	0.00	13	40%	-0.11	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.03
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.19	-0.19	-0.11	-0.08	-0.00	21	36%	-0.10	2	-0.09	8	87%	0.02
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.2	-0.20	-0.02	-0.18	0.00	10	45%	-0.17	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.12
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.21	-0.21	-0.09	-0.13	-0.01	8	12%	-0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.4	26.6	15.7	29.0	2.5	37.5	137.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +100.7%

LAC +2.1%

WAS -24.4%

WAS -26.2%

WAS -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	WAS	NBA	LAC	WAS	NBA
this game	15.9	14.4	15.6	107.4	102.1	104.4
season	15.2	15.1		103.9	107.4
opponent	15.6	15.5		105.5	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.5	16.5	16.9	17.1	15.9
WAS	13.7	14.0	15.9	14.2	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cuttino Mobley	74	74	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.32	11	-6	17	15.7	16.6	-0.84	14.8	12.9	1.98
Sam Cassell	65	65	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.36	9	-4	13	15.6	16.5	-0.85	13.9	15.5	-1.66
Corey Maggette	45	45	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.36	5	0	5	17.1	14.8	2.27	14.6	14.2	0.46
Elton Brand	78	79	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.39	1	4	-3	15.8	16.6	-0.82	13.9	16.7	-2.75
Quinton Ross	75	75	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.42	0	5	-5	15.0	19.3	-4.35	13.6	17.4	-3.80
Zeljko Rebraca	28	27	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	1	3	16.9	15.5	1.39	15.4	14.0	1.46
Chris Kaman	49	51	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	3	-1	15.7	16.1	-0.37	14.1	14.7	-0.61
Daniel Ewing	30	30	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.01	-4	9	-13	16.5	15.6	0.85	15.5	13.9	1.66
Chris Wilcox	31	29	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.06	-3	8	-11	16.6	15.6	1.03	15.8	13.8	1.96

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarvis Hayes	60	59	0.18	-0.68	0.85	0.06	4	-9	13	13.5	16.0	-2.49	15.6	16.4	-0.81
Etan Thomas	31	30	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.05	4	-9	13	15.3	14.0	1.37	17.5	15.2	2.27
Jared Jeffries	48	48	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.03	-2	-3	1	14.3	14.5	-0.22	15.1	16.8	-1.72
Donell Taylor	6	6	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-3	1	22.5	13.9	8.65	17.3	15.8	1.51
Michael Ruffin	22	24	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.02	-1	-4	3	17.0	13.6	3.44	17.4	15.4	2.01
Gilbert Arenas	86	85	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.34	2	-7	9	13.6	21.7	-8.03	15.8	17.3	-1.55
Antawn Jamison	73	71	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.34	-4	-1	-3	13.6	17.0	-3.44	15.4	17.4	-2.01
Caron Butler	53	53	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.37	-5	0	-5	15.0	13.6	1.40	17.0	14.6	2.41
Brendan Haywood	64	65	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.30	-9	4	-13	14.0	15.3	-1.37	15.2	17.5	-2.27
Chucky Atkins	32	34	-0.82	0.32	-1.14	-0.47	-12	7	-19	15.8	13.7	2.08	16.1	15.8	0.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.36,0.42,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.65,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.36,0.53,0.33,0.61,0.31,0.23,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 101, NYK 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.46,0.39,0.47,0.21,0.23,0.41,0	92.5%
MEM 89, LAL 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.35,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.62,0.56,0.43,0.53,0.32,0.7,0.54,0.4,0.61,0.37,0.15,0.37,0	91.6%
SAS 94, PHI 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.32,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.66,0.57,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.29,0.33,0.45,0.36,0.15,0.69,0	90.7%