NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	94		Excitement	9.7 [70]		MVP	Jaren Jackson (SAS): +10.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	91		Comeback	2.9 [473]		LVP	Larry Hughes (PHI): -27.7%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaren Jackson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	5	80%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.06	0.00	15	54%	0.13	1	-0.06	5	100%	0.06
Tim Duncan	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.2,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0	-0.08	0.08	-0.00	17	54%	0.14	4	-0.14	14	57%	-0.01
Jerome Kersey	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Terry Porter	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	9	50%	0.10	2	-0.15	2	50%	-0.00
Chucky Brown	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	5	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Malik Rose	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	5	42%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Avery Johnson	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.35,-0.35,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.09	-0.22	0.12	-0.01	14	21%	0.06	5	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	-0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.09,-0.12	0.03	-0.13	0.02	10	55%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Lynch	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.04	0.02	12	60%	0.09	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,-0.09,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	0.00	9	44%	0.09	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bruce Bowen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	0.00	4	38%	-0.04	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.04
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.06,-0.06,0.08,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	34	47%	0.02	3	-0.09	7	86%	0.02
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.16	-0.06	-0.01	11	9%	-0.18	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.28	-0.28	-0.04	-0.24	0.00	11	56%	-0.16	3	-0.12	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.7	30.5	15.5	25.4	2.5	39.6	140.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +57.7%

SAS +3.7%

SAS +4.5%

PHI -17.8%

SAS +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	PHI	NBA	SAS	PHI	NBA
this game	15.7	13.8	15.2	96.9	92.9	101.7
season	15.5	15.0		101.6	99.5
opponent	15.5	15.4		98.1	95.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.4	17.7	15.1	15.7	15.7
PHI	15.6	11.8	14.9	13.1	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	91	91	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.37	12	-9	21	15.1	24.8	-9.71	14.1	10.7	3.35
David Robinson	66	66	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.50	2	1	1	17.0	13.0	4.00	14.2	13.0	1.27
Terry Porter	51	51	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.36	6	-3	9	14.8	16.8	-1.98	13.7	13.9	-0.17
Avery Johnson	80	80	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.43	-2	5	-7	16.0	14.4	1.66	13.4	15.8	-2.46
Mario Elie	64	66	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.34	-1	4	-5	16.3	14.6	1.69	13.8	13.9	-0.16
Jaren Jackson	31	30	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.12	3	0	3	13.0	17.0	-4.05	12.7	14.3	-1.67
Chucky Brown	34	36	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.01	3	0	3	17.4	14.8	2.60	15.7	12.7	2.95
Jerome Kersey	33	32	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	3	-3	15.3	15.9	-0.59	13.9	13.8	0.16
Samaki Walker	9	9	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.03	2	1	1	17.0	15.6	1.41	13.1	13.9	-0.79
Malik Rose	26	29	-0.39	0.89	-1.28	-0.10	-10	13	-23	15.2	15.9	-0.67	12.6	14.3	-1.71

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Todd MacCulloch	31	33	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.06	10	-13	23	10.8	15.2	-4.42	16.6	15.3	1.34
Tyrone Hill	30	31	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.02	1	-4	5	13.0	14.2	-1.19	14.3	16.4	-2.15
Bruce Bowen	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-4	5	13.2	13.9	-0.69	17.3	15.5	1.83
Aaron McKie	25	25	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.02	-3	0	-3	14.5	13.6	0.93	12.1	17.0	-4.85
Larry Hughes	61	61	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.50	11	-14	25	12.3	16.4	-4.06	16.0	15.2	0.75
Billy Owens	57	53	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	7	-17	14.9	12.3	2.55	16.2	15.1	1.11
Eric Snow	54	55	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.38	-1	-2	1	14.1	13.5	0.59	16.1	15.2	0.85
Theo Ratliff	65	63	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.49	1	-4	5	15.0	11.5	3.48	16.0	15.3	0.66
Allen Iverson	86	86	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.37	-7	4	-11	13.7	14.9	-1.24	15.5	17.8	-2.36
George Lynch	68	65	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.21	-18	15	-33	14.8	11.7	3.06	16.2	14.8	1.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.32,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.66,0.57,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.29,0.33,0.45,0.36,0.15,0.69,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 102, WAS 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.36,0.42,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.65,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.36,0.53,0.33,0.61,0.31,0.23,0.58,0	90.7%
HOU 98, NJN 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.24,0.39,0.38,0.28,0.15,0.47,0	90.6%
WAS 85, UTA 84	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.41,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.23,0.31,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.28,0.37,0.45,0.65,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.32,0.58,0	90.6%