NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	98		Excitement	8.6 [144]		MVP	Elden Campbell (LAL): +10.2%
Atlanta Hawks	96		Comeback	2.7 [233]		LVP	Dikembe Mutombo (ATL): -34.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elden Campbell	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.1	0.01	0.10	0.02	8	72%	0.18	3	-0.08	9	89%	0.05
Derek Fisher	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.02	-0.04	0.05	-0.01	16	50%	0.10	2	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01
Sean Rooks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	4	75%	0.08	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.03	-0.04	18	42%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Robert Horry	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	11	50%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Rick Fox	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.12	0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	12	42%	-0.10	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	11	55%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	7	50%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ed Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	75%	0.10	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	10	40%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	5	17%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.08	-0.15	-0.01	11	64%	0.10	7	-0.32	6	100%	0.04
Steven Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.34	-0.34	-0.03	-0.30	0.01	28	42%	-0.34	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.35	-0.35	-0.05	-0.30	0.00	6	70%	-0.20	4	-0.15	8	25%	-0.34

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.8	26.8	16.8	22.2	2.4	34.3	129.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +20.2%

LAL +15.2%

ATL -6.7%

LAL +21.4%

ATL -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	ATL	NBA	LAL	ATL	NBA
this game	14.8	15.8	15.6	104.3	102.1	102.5
season	14.8	16.1		110.0	105.3
opponent	16.0	15.6		101.5	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	11.8	14.0	18.0	16.3	14.8
ATL	13.9	17.3	15.4	17.1	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Fox	61	58	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.34	5	-3	8	15.5	13.5	2.01	16.8	14.3	2.50
Elden Campbell	64	65	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.46	0	2	-2	15.4	13.7	1.69	16.6	14.0	2.68
Robert Horry	66	68	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.42	1	1	0	15.3	13.7	1.62	15.7	16.1	-0.41
Nick Van Exel	71	73	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.40	0	2	-2	15.8	11.8	3.96	16.0	15.3	0.69
Kobe Bryant	61	62	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.29	1	1	0	14.5	15.5	-1.03	15.7	16.0	-0.23
Eddie Jones	67	68	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.26	-2	4	-6	14.3	16.1	-1.86	15.1	17.8	-2.70
Derek Fisher	22	21	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	0	2	12.4	15.6	-3.21	15.3	16.0	-0.69
Corie Blount	28	26	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.02	1	1	0	13.7	15.3	-1.62	16.1	15.7	0.41
Sean Rooks	30	29	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	0	2	13.7	15.4	-1.69	14.0	16.6	-2.68

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chucky Brown	6	5	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.03	4	-6	10	12.5	16.0	-3.55	17.0	14.7	2.30
Eldridge Recasner	32	33	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.07	-1	-1	0	17.4	15.0	2.36	14.6	14.9	-0.28
Alan Henderson	27	29	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.05	-4	2	-6	17.1	15.3	1.81	13.7	15.3	-1.68
Christian Laettner	81	80	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.39	5	-7	12	15.8	16.2	-0.39	14.6	15.9	-1.22
Mookie Blaylock	76	75	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.37	3	-5	8	14.9	19.7	-4.76	14.4	16.4	-1.94
Ed Gray	27	29	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.06	-8	6	-14	14.6	16.3	-1.77	12.9	15.7	-2.78
Tyrone Corbin	70	68	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.36	-1	-1	0	15.9	15.5	0.43	15.3	13.5	1.82
Steven Smith	77	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.46	1	-3	4	16.4	13.1	3.30	15.8	10.8	4.93
Dikembe Mutombo	74	75	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.41	-9	7	-16	15.7	16.3	-0.67	15.1	13.6	1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.28,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.43,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.57,0.37,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.21,0.16,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 91, ORL 84	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.59,0.4,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.23,0.08,0	92.5%
LAC 94, HOU 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.11,0.01,0,0	92.3%
IND 97, SAC 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.19,0.21,0.06,0,0	91.8%