NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	87		Excitement	5.7 [644]		MVP	Terry Porter (MIN): +12.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves	103		Comeback	3.5 [652]		LVP	Erick Dampier (GSW): -15.9%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Duane Ferrell	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	2	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	13	63%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Tony Delk	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	10	60%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Carl Thomas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	67%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Felton Spencer	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	12	43%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Dickey Simpkins	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	3	25%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.02	-0.05	11	37%	-0.03	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Joe Smith	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.04	17	28%	-0.14	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Erick Dampier	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	9	43%	-0.10	3	-0.06	12	58%	-0.05

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.01	5	93%	0.13	2	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.07	0.01	14	64%	0.14	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	10	45%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Reggie Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.10	-0.00	-0.08	3	12%	-0.02	2	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Stanley Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	0.02	5	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
Chris Carr	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	8	56%	0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	0.05	8	63%	-0.01	3	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	15	41%	-0.02	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	12	41%	-0.07	2	-0.06	10	80%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.7	31.0	14.8	29.3	2.4	26.5	128.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +14.9%

MIN +17.5%

MIN +21.0%

GSW -3.4%

MIN +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	MIN	NBA	GSW	MIN	NBA
this game	16.2	14.5	15.6	91.6	110.8	102.5
season	15.6	14.8		92.9	105.3
opponent	15.7	15.0		104.9	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	17.3	16.3	17.6	13.6	16.2
MIN	14.0	14.9	13.7	15.2	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Delk	37	37	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.09	-7	-9	2	15.4	16.7	-1.29	14.5	14.4	0.06
Duane Ferrell	9	10	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-13	10	13.4	16.5	-3.01	14.8	14.4	0.39
Felton Spencer	39	38	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.04	-8	-8	0	16.9	15.6	1.32	13.7	15.0	-1.30
Dickey Simpkins	29	24	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.14	-12	-4	-8	16.2	16.1	0.11	16.6	13.7	2.87
Brian Shaw	65	62	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-11	6	16.0	16.5	-0.48	14.7	14.0	0.73
Erick Dampier	55	55	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.10	-6	-10	4	15.9	16.5	-0.66	15.0	13.7	1.30
Donyell Marshall	78	76	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	-4	-8	16.3	15.6	0.71	14.5	14.3	0.19
Joe Smith	74	76	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.17	-5	-11	6	16.3	15.6	0.77	13.7	17.8	-4.13
Carl Thomas	23	21	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.00	-11	-5	-6	16.0	16.2	-0.22	13.5	14.7	-1.20
Bimbo Coles	66	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-11	-5	-6	16.6	15.2	1.38	14.5	14.3	0.17

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Porter	52	55	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.01	26	-10	36	14.5	14.4	0.11	15.2	17.5	-2.26
Sam Mitchell	47	48	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.05	18	-2	20	14.7	14.2	0.51	17.1	15.2	1.98
Cherokee Parks	62	62	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.04	16	0	16	15.3	12.8	2.47	16.0	16.6	-0.62
Stephon Marbury	77	78	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.10	9	7	2	14.6	13.6	1.00	16.7	13.5	3.21
Tom Gugliotta	67	70	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.03	9	7	2	15.2	12.6	2.60	15.7	17.4	-1.67
Reggie Jordan	17	18	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.04	7	9	-2	12.9	14.8	-1.92	13.3	16.8	-3.57
Kevin Garnett	66	66	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.10	1	15	-14	13.9	15.8	-1.87	16.9	14.4	2.53
Stanley Roberts	33	34	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	16	-16	12.9	15.3	-2.34	16.2	16.1	0.10
Chris Carr	44	44	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	-0.07	-6	22	-28	14.1	14.8	-0.64	16.2	16.1	0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.49,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.25,0.41,0.52,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 84, BOS 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.48,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.88,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.6%
DEN 53, DET 74	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.3%
TOR 92, NJN 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.86,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.1%