NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	92		Excitement	6.3 [573]		MVP	Anthony Parker (TOR): +20.1%
New Jersey Nets	102		Comeback	1.6 [907]		LVP	Chris Bosh (TOR): -19.4%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Parker	0.20	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.12	0.05	-0.04	17	59%	0.20	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	0.00	15	58%	0.13	5	-0.13	3	67%	-0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	6	64%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	15	34%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Andrea Bargnani	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	2	37%	-0.04	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Joey Graham	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jorge Garbajosa	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	8	12%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	-0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.07	-0.06	0.06	13	44%	-0.11	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.06	-0.01	9	70%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.14	0.01	0.04	16	69%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	10	61%	0.10	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
Hassan Adams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mile Ilic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	100%	0.05	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	12	58%	0.09	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	12	47%	0.01	3	-0.08	10	60%	-0.03
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.00	-0.00	9	33%	0.01	4	-0.13	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.3	29.1	15.6	28.4	2.5	28.2	131.4
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +47.4%

NJN +7.3%

NJN +12.4%

TOR -17.8%

NJN +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NJN	NBA	TOR	NJN	NBA
this game	13.7	13.5	15.4	86.0	97.1	104.5
season	15.2	15.4		104.7	103.1
opponent	15.7	15.4		103.8	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.3	12.9	13.4	14.4	13.7
NJN	12.3	12.4	13.3	16.2	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasho Nesterovic	22	21	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.07	8	-18	26	15.3	13.3	1.97	13.0	13.6	-0.57
Andrea Bargnani	21	21	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.12	8	-18	26	13.5	13.8	-0.29	12.7	13.7	-0.99
PJ Tucker	20	20	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-10	10	12.5	14.0	-1.43	11.1	14.0	-2.85
T.J. Ford	78	77	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-8	6	13.5	14.4	-0.92	12.7	15.4	-2.69
Chris Bosh	54	53	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.07	-3	-7	4	14.2	13.2	1.07	13.6	13.3	0.37
Anthony Parker	84	82	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.06	-4	-6	2	13.6	14.0	-0.42	13.1	14.9	-1.81
Kris Humphries	17	15	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	-4	-2	13.0	13.8	-0.84	17.1	12.9	4.21
Joey Graham	19	19	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	-5	0	14.4	13.6	0.86	14.7	13.2	1.50
Morris Peterson	84	83	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.12	-7	-3	-4	13.8	13.5	0.30	13.2	14.3	-1.03
Jorge Garbajosa	48	47	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.06	-14	4	-18	13.1	14.2	-1.10	13.1	13.7	-0.60
Jose Calderon	29	28	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.14	-8	-2	-6	14.4	13.5	0.92	15.4	12.7	2.69
Fred Jones	59	59	-0.69	0.20	-0.89	-0.20	-17	7	-24	13.6	13.8	-0.19	14.3	12.3	1.97

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bostjan Nachbar	53	53	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.07	19	-9	28	14.9	12.0	2.85	14.3	13.1	1.17
Richard Jefferson	85	86	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.13	16	-6	22	12.7	16.7	-4.07	14.1	12.2	1.83
Marcus Williams	52	52	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.20	12	-2	14	13.5	13.5	0.01	12.8	14.5	-1.72
Vince Carter	90	93	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.06	8	2	6	13.3	14.2	-0.87	13.8	13.1	0.65
Jason Collins	36	40	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.04	7	3	4	13.9	13.2	0.66	14.7	13.1	1.62
Jason Kidd	76	78	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.06	6	4	2	13.3	13.8	-0.51	13.5	14.2	-0.63
Mikki Moore	42	40	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.16	-3	13	-16	13.2	13.6	-0.37	12.5	14.4	-1.97
Nenad Krstic	51	53	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.04	0	10	-10	13.2	13.7	-0.43	14.5	12.9	1.66
Hassan Adams	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	14	-18	16.0	13.4	2.59	4.0	13.8	-9.80
Mile Ilic	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	14	-18	16.0	13.4	2.59	4.0	13.8	-9.80
Antoine Wright	36	38	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.03	-7	17	-24	13.7	13.3	0.32	13.0	14.1	-1.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.86,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 76, LAL 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.87,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.6%
TOR 72, SAS 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	93.4%
DEN 53, DET 74	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.3%