NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	111		Excitement	2.5 [1197]		MVP	Dale Ellis (SEA): +11.7%
Boston Celtics	92		Comeback	1.0 [1054]		LVP	Dee Brown (BOS): -8.4%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Ellis	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.00	-0.03	10	79%	0.12	2	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Vin Baker	0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	10	67%	0.05	2	-0.01	13	62%	-0.02
Detlef Schrempf	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.03	10	52%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	3	78%	0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.00
Gary Payton	0.02	0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	10	62%	0.06	4	-0.04	9	78%	0.01
Stephen Howard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wingate	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	1	25%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Greg Anthony	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Sam Perkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	62%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	6	64%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Hersey Hawkins	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.02	4	67%	-0.01	3	-0.05	7	71%	-0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	0.00	0.04	4	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.10	0.00	0.08	16	66%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	17	39%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.09	0.00	0.09	8	87%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Roy Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.02	-0.06	10	45%	-0.02	3	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	14	50%	0.02	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	11	32%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	10	19%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	3	0%	-0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.7	26.6	14.8	24.5	2.3	21.6	117.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +38.5%

SEA +11.3%

SEA +3.9%

BOS -3.6%

BOS -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	BOS	NBA	SEA	BOS	NBA
this game	12.1	17.8	15.6	114.4	95.8	102.5
season	15.3	15.1		109.3	100.2
opponent	15.1	16.2		103.0	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	8.4	12.7	13.6	14.0	12.1
BOS	21.2	16.1	15.2	18.7	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	75	74	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.24	24	-5	29	11.5	14.4	-2.90	18.2	16.1	2.15
Vin Baker	58	58	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.14	18	1	17	12.2	12.0	0.16	17.6	18.0	-0.41
Detlef Schrempf	55	54	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.18	19	0	19	12.0	12.3	-0.29	18.5	16.8	1.71
Hersey Hawkins	54	52	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.09	16	3	13	12.4	11.7	0.68	18.5	16.9	1.64
Dale Ellis	50	50	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.07	5	14	-9	12.4	11.9	0.53	21.2	14.0	7.16
Sam Perkins	45	44	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.06	5	14	-9	12.8	11.6	1.22	17.7	17.8	-0.17
Jim McIlvaine	32	31	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.19	13	6	7	11.0	12.7	-1.63	12.5	20.3	-7.78
Greg Anthony	51	50	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.13	1	18	-17	12.2	12.0	0.24	16.5	19.1	-2.57
Aaron Williams	39	40	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	17	-15	12.6	11.8	0.74	17.0	18.2	-1.20
David Wingate	11	12	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.09	-3	22	-25	12.1	12.1	-0.04	17.2	17.8	-0.67
Stephen Howard	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	20	-21	10.3	12.2	-1.91	16.3	17.8	-1.51
Eric Snow	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	23	-27	14.0	11.9	2.07	17.1	17.8	-0.70

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roy Rogers	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-20	21	16.3	17.8	-1.51	10.3	12.2	-1.91
John Thomas	36	36	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.24	7	-26	33	20.6	16.0	4.62	11.4	12.6	-1.21
Andrew DeClercq	9	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.16	-8	-11	3	12.8	18.3	-5.49	10.0	12.4	-2.40
Dana Barros	44	44	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-17	15	21.0	15.0	6.04	11.6	12.5	-0.93
Bruce Bowen	53	52	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.30	5	-24	29	20.4	14.5	5.82	12.4	11.8	0.65
Dee Brown	37	38	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-18	17	15.1	19.4	-4.39	13.4	11.3	2.13
Walter McCarty	40	42	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.16	-11	-8	-3	20.6	15.7	4.97	12.5	11.9	0.58
Chauncey Billups	55	56	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.14	-17	-2	-15	16.2	19.8	-3.59	12.8	11.1	1.69
Travis Knight	65	63	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.03	-13	-6	-7	16.0	21.4	-5.42	13.3	9.9	3.41
Antoine Walker	68	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.32	-27	8	-35	15.2	23.8	-8.57	11.9	12.8	-0.96
Ron Mercer	67	67	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	0.31	-29	10	-39	18.0	17.1	0.93	10.8	15.2	-4.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.2,0.12,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 108, BOS 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.21,0.14,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
MIL 98, OKC 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	97.2%
DET 103, CHA 78	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%