inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 83 Excitement9.0 [102] MVPVernon Maxwell (ORL): +14.7%
Toronto Raptors 81 Comeback2.6 [381] LVPDarrell Armstrong (ORL): -41.1%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vernon Maxwell0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.22,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.150.050.10-0.001558%0.171-0.021100%0.01
Bo Outlaw0.060,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.03-0.01964%0.091-0.03450%-0.02
Derek Harper0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.00-0.021162%0.112-0.052100%0.01
Johnny Taylor0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Horace Grant-0.020,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.04,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.02-0.030.011064%0.032-0.05580%-0.00
Dan Schayes-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00250%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Brian Evans-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.00-0.0040%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Rony Seikaly-0.120,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.10-0.03-0.02832%-0.091-0.03650%-0.02
Gerald Wilkins-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.07-0.070.00922%-0.1400.0000%0.00
Darrell Armstrong-0.410,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.36,-0.41-0.17-0.24-0.00935%-0.226-0.20250%-0.06

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.060.060.020.02-0.022351%0.081-0.025100%0.04
Reggie Slater0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.02-0.020.01580%0.052-0.0700%0.00
Bob McCann0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Doug Christie0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.03-0.01952%0.063-0.14580%0.01
John Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,-0.09-0.09-0.02-0.07-0.001741%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Shawn Respert0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.13,-0.33-0.33-0.05-0.280.00540%0.022-0.3500%0.00
Zan Tabak0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.001344%-0.077-0.2810%-0.01
Oliver Miller0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17,-0.29,-0.4,-0.4-0.40-0.15-0.28-0.03533%-0.334-0.07520%-0.24
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.52.526.515.424.01.828.2119.8
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +7.3%
ORL +9.3%
TOR -18.6%
ORL +49.3%
ORL +2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLTORNBAORLTORNBA
this game16.016.415.692.292.0102.5
season16.715.5100.398.7
opponent14.815.6108.2101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL14.514.317.218.616.0
TOR14.915.717.118.316.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Horace Grant76740.68-0.180.870.429-71615.518.6-3.1315.620.2-4.58
Darrell Armstrong70670.67-0.170.840.477-51216.414.61.7415.618.7-3.09
Bo Outlaw86850.500.000.490.355-3816.39.76.5416.317.0-0.66
Derek Harper64650.480.020.460.4220215.816.4-0.5417.214.13.08
Vernon Maxwell38380.460.040.420.373-1415.116.6-1.5017.815.32.46
Rony Seikaly48480.060.44-0.370.0602-216.415.50.8917.714.73.05
Johnny Taylor440.040.46-0.430.0402-214.716.1-1.3115.516.4-0.90
Dan Schayes1514-0.060.56-0.610.03-35-815.716.1-0.3214.116.8-2.64
Brian Evans1819-0.100.60-0.710.04-57-1215.116.2-1.1116.416.40.01
Gerald Wilkins3126-0.230.73-0.960.00-810-1817.115.41.6215.116.9-1.77

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bob McCann1111-0.05-0.450.400.04-31-415.116.5-1.4512.516.5-4.04
Reggie Slater4949-0.08-0.420.330.06-53-815.717.2-1.5615.616.5-0.99
John Wallace5858-0.14-0.360.21-0.6116-183417.114.92.1717.014.22.76
Oliver Miller5656-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.393-5816.416.20.1816.415.41.04
Shawn Respert4345-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.465-71216.815.90.9315.916.1-0.18
Zan Tabak6063-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.05-1412-2616.017.1-1.0915.916.2-0.26
Damon Stoudamire8285-0.50-0.00-0.49-0.44-20-216.119.7-3.5416.114.02.12
Doug Christie8183-0.650.15-0.81-0.36-108-1816.613.33.3415.818.7-2.94


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.52,0.39,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.63,0.56,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.47,0.39,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.27,0
GameSimilarity Score
IND 90, NJN 880.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.63,0.54,0.48,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.41,0.33,0.45,0.37,0.32,0.27,091.8%
ATL 77, BOS 700.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.28,091.4%
MIA 102, BKN 960.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.32,0.36,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.38,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.64,0.53,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.42,091.4%