NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	77		Excitement	7.8 [159]		MVP	Chris Crawford (ATL): +9.4%
Boston Celtics	70		Comeback	2.1 [248]		LVP	Mookie Blaylock (ATL): -17.7%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Crawford	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09	0.05	0.05	0.01	13	61%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ed Gray	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	69%	0.08	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.09
Mark West	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roshown McLeod	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	4	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Johnson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	8	22%	-0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11	0.03	-0.14	-0.00	10	67%	-0.03	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.07
Tyrone Corbin	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	6	29%	-0.09	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Grant Long	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	7	47%	-0.09	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.09
Mookie Blaylock	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.12	-0.07	-0.02	17	33%	-0.13	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	9	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	-0.01	12	62%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Dwayne Schintzius	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Minor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	11	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	0.02	-0.02	11	36%	-0.02	3	-0.06	3	33%	-0.05
Ron Mercer	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	22	42%	-0.02	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	0.00	-0.01	12	25%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	4	25%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.8	2.3	24.4	14.8	25.7	1.8	35.3	125.0
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +2.4%

ATL +18.4%

ATL +38.5%

BOS -14.5%

ATL +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	BOS	NBA	ATL	BOS	NBA
this game	18.5	16.8	15.8	93.9	86.4	99.6
season	16.7	15.0		97.2	98.1
opponent	15.8	16.3		100.0	94.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.4	20.4	20.2	20.3	18.5
BOS	15.0	17.5	16.8	18.6	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dikembe Mutombo	76	74	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.21	15	-8	23	18.0	24.8	-6.85	16.8	17.6	-0.80
Chris Crawford	51	50	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.25	10	-3	13	17.6	20.0	-2.38	16.6	17.2	-0.57
Mookie Blaylock	67	66	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.24	10	-3	13	18.6	17.9	0.76	17.0	16.0	1.03
Ed Gray	33	33	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.39	3	4	-1	18.8	18.3	0.45	17.7	16.2	1.45
Grant Long	75	75	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.30	6	1	5	18.4	19.6	-1.18	17.0	15.0	1.99
Anthony Johnson	38	38	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.01	2	5	-3	19.2	17.9	1.30	17.6	16.1	1.49
Tyrone Corbin	46	46	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.05	1	6	-5	17.6	19.6	-2.05	15.7	18.4	-2.70
Roshown McLeod	11	10	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	12	-17	22.4	17.9	4.48	16.2	16.9	-0.73
Mark West	13	13	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.09	-7	14	-21	22.0	17.8	4.17	16.4	16.9	-0.54

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwayne Schintzius	1	1	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.01	2	-9	11	14.0	16.9	-2.88	2.0	18.7	-16.69
Greg Minor	21	21	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.09	3	-10	13	17.1	16.7	0.41	19.4	18.2	1.20
Walter McCarty	9	10	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-8	9	16.0	16.9	-0.94	19.9	18.3	1.61
Damon Jones	27	28	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.10	1	-8	9	16.9	16.8	0.02	18.2	18.6	-0.36
Vitaly Potapenko	46	47	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.34	8	-15	23	16.9	16.8	0.12	19.5	17.2	2.30
Tony Battie	48	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	3	-13	18.1	14.9	3.21	18.2	18.9	-0.69
Ron Mercer	76	78	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.32	-4	-3	-1	16.7	18.6	-1.88	18.7	14.7	3.93
Dana Barros	54	54	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.20	-8	1	-9	16.8	16.9	-0.02	18.6	18.2	0.36
Paul Pierce	65	65	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.18	-13	6	-19	16.9	16.7	0.19	18.0	20.5	-2.50
Antoine Walker	58	59	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.22	-15	8	-23	15.9	19.2	-3.32	18.0	19.8	-1.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 97, MIA 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.28,0.2,0.16,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.42,0.48,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.59,0.71,0.53,0.38,0.55,0.43,0.41,0	92.0%
LAC 104, POR 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.25,0.23,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.47,0.64,0.59,0.39,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.42,0	91.6%
NYK 96, ATL 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.56,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.72,0.45,0.42,0	91.5%