NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	81		Excitement	7.8 [239]		MVP	George McCloud (PHX): +8.9%
Indiana Pacers	80		Comeback	1.2 [223]		LVP	Clifford Robinson (PHX): -35.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George McCloud	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	5	75%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marko Milic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hot Rod Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.01	-0.03	0.03	0.01	15	48%	0.06	2	-0.07	3	67%	0.00
Rex Chapman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	13	49%	-0.02	0	0.00	11	73%	-0.02
Steve Nash	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	7	43%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	12	37%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.27,-0.27,-0.29,-0.29	-0.18	-0.11	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	5	-0.20	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.35	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.29,-0.29,-0.35	-0.14	-0.20	0.01	11	43%	-0.27	2	-0.08	13	23%	-0.27

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	6	57%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	1	100%	0.06	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	8	52%	-0.03	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	6	37%	-0.07	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	6	50%	-0.01	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.02
Mark Jackson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	0.00	6	21%	-0.08	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Rik Smits	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.22	-0.22	-0.11	-0.11	0.00	12	39%	-0.11	3	-0.11	4	75%	0.01
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0,-0.26	-0.26	-0.02	-0.26	-0.02	12	48%	-0.20	1	-0.07	3	100%	0.03
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.22,-0.29,-0.29	-0.29	-0.14	-0.14	0.01	12	44%	-0.07	4	-0.21	10	90%	0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	1.5	26.5	15.5	25.5	2.5	34.3	129.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +65.2%

IND -34.4%

IND -10.4%

PHX +23.5%

PHX +6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	IND	NBA	PHX	IND	NBA
this game	15.5	15.1	15.6	86.2	85.1	102.5
season	15.0	16.0		105.3	105.3
opponent	16.1	15.9		99.2	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.7	14.6	14.3	17.2	15.5
IND	14.9	16.0	16.3	13.3	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio McDyess	79	81	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.40	5	-4	9	15.3	16.7	-1.48	15.0	15.9	-0.90
Rex Chapman	68	66	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.47	1	0	1	16.2	13.6	2.59	15.6	14.2	1.38
Jason Kidd	77	78	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.49	-3	4	-7	15.5	15.2	0.31	15.2	15.1	0.03
Clifford Robinson	70	68	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.53	-6	7	-13	16.0	14.0	2.06	15.5	14.2	1.27
George McCloud	34	33	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.01	11	-10	21	14.7	15.9	-1.23	14.8	15.3	-0.46
Hot Rod Williams	14	12	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.31	-3	4	-7	13.4	15.8	-2.42	15.3	15.1	0.21
Mark Bryant	29	29	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.03	7	-6	13	15.0	15.7	-0.71	14.8	15.3	-0.51
Marko Milic	8	9	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.01	3	-2	5	14.2	15.6	-1.35	14.9	15.2	-0.29
Cedric Ceballos	56	58	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.24	-8	9	-17	16.1	14.5	1.62	15.5	14.5	1.01
Steve Nash	35	36	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.06	-2	3	-5	14.7	16.0	-1.28	13.9	15.9	-1.95

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Hoiberg	21	21	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.05	-3	2	-5	16.5	14.8	1.71	15.4	15.5	-0.14
Austin Croshere	42	42	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	2	-5	15.5	14.8	0.68	14.2	16.5	-2.35
Travis Best	49	52	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.37	8	-9	17	14.9	15.5	-0.61	15.8	15.1	0.76
Derrick McKey	34	33	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	2	-5	16.0	14.6	1.38	16.0	15.2	0.83
Chris Mullin	50	49	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	2	-5	15.9	14.3	1.52	15.0	16.1	-1.11
Antonio Davis	62	62	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.37	3	-4	7	14.3	16.7	-2.38	15.3	15.9	-0.63
Jalen Rose	44	45	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.38	2	-3	5	14.3	15.9	-1.52	16.1	15.0	1.11
Mark Jackson	45	42	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	8	-17	15.5	14.9	0.61	15.1	15.8	-0.76
Reggie Miller	73	73	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.52	2	-3	5	14.8	16.5	-1.71	15.5	15.4	0.14
Rik Smits	50	51	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.53	1	-2	3	15.2	15.0	0.19	16.5	14.3	2.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.28,0.18,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.4,0.27,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 97, UTA 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.18,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0	94.0%
MEM 94, DEN 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.28,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.41,0.41,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.19,0.31,0.41,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.15,0.09,0	93.5%
SAC 96, MIN 89	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.42,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.16,0.02,0.02,0	93.4%